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Thread: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

  1. #13

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    Thanks for joining us! Good luck!
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

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  3. #14

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    Fab1 it is interesting that you say that... bet you couldn't tell from the name! Hee hee haa haa.. yes I have now just decided that I do like Heart! Got tickets but could only get the premium meet and greet in Kansas City so will be visiting there in a few months to attend with a few friends. Just love Ann's voice and Nancy's guitar playing. Inducted into Hall of Fame this year and they will be doing a 30 minute Led Zeppelin encore with Bonham's son. Hoping it will be good. I know they will be.... figured I better see them as I've not seen them before and they are getting a little older---like me but I am younger!!! And surely young at hear! Check out the boat pic. Eventually I will do something... like jump into market but not just yet. I am taking Mcqlives advice. Actually i invested lots last year in S and C and got out in late December. Not afraid of sequester but ramifications of Obamacare on businesses and then that effect on markets. But would seem that effect will not hit for a while as long as Bernanke keeps printing money... sounds like we are in a bubble full of that new money!

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  5. #15

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    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    You should enjoy BOTH they are Fantistic, wish I could. AND they have to quit printing money or it IS the end!



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  7. #16

    Join Date
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    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by FAB1 View Post
    DreamboatAnnie.

    Lemme Guess you like 70's Classic Rock, right? Like "Heart"? :toung:

    Welcome to the forum and good luck!
    I LOVE that album... the others...meh..
    "Welcome back my friends to the show that never ends...

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  9. #17

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    http://www.cnbc.com/id/100755516
    Article on what to expect from today's testimony to Congress today ..by Bernanke.
    Last edited by DreamboatAnnie; 05-22-2013 at 08:41 AM. Reason: Bad link

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  11. #18

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    http://www.marketwatch.com/column/asia-stocks-to-wa - interesting article on Chinese company stocks in US market. not sure how this affects overall market if they pull out.

    bummed to see that market / Dow continues to go down after fed comments but surely as Bt said it is program trading and I don't know what that is. However still feel market will bounce back up .. at least short term. and At least enough to get out with something as I joined the game so late. Thought I had prematurely took too much off table a week ago but appears not... But will see .. Think market will go up more before EOM. Wish i had more IFT. that really sucks! at 85G/15S..very conservative. think I will stay in just to see. Looking at bollingers, relative strength and MACD. MACD lines came together so looks like market can go either way. rSI dropped a bit to 60. candle with wick down and nothing up so moving downward seems more probable and hit 20 day EMA. So looks like going down more . Only thing that seems promising is overall bull market and that. BB looks to be contracting upward. So in a week or two maybe set up another higher rally??? Keeping an eye on it.


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  13. #19

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    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by DreamboatAnnie View Post
    http://www.marketwatch.com/column/asia-stocks-to-wa - interesting article on Chinese company stocks in US market. not sure how this affects overall market if they pull out.

    bummed to see that market / Dow continues to go down after fed comments but surely as Bt said it is program trading and I don't know what that is. However still feel market will bounce back up .. at least short term. and At least enough to get out with something as I joined the game so late. Thought I had prematurely took too much off table a week ago but appears not... But will see .. Think market will go up more before EOM. Wish i had more IFT. that really sucks! at 85G/15S..very conservative. think I will stay in just to see. Looking at bollingers, relative strength and MACD. MACD lines came together so looks like market can go either way. rSI dropped a bit to 60. candle with wick down and nothing up so moving downward seems more probable and hit 20 day EMA. So looks like going down more . Only thing that seems promising is overall bull market and that. BB looks to be contracting upward. So in a week or two maybe set up another higher rally??? Keeping an eye on it.
    The powers that be cannot push this market higher without reloading from time to time. Liquidity remains strong, but has fallen off enough over the past couple of trading days to allow selling pressure to take prices lower. There are very good odds that this is once again a temporary decline before a continuation of the bull market. There are more moving parts than this, such as sentiment and options set-ups, but this market is more about liquidity than anything else right now. And until that changes, we are likely resolving higher.

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  15. #20

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by coolhand View Post
    The powers that be cannot push this market higher without reloading from time to time. Liquidity remains strong, but has fallen off enough over the past couple of trading days to allow selling pressure to take prices lower. There are very good odds that this is once again a temporary decline before a continuation of the bull market. There are more moving parts than this, such as sentiment and options set-ups, but this market is more about liquidity than anything else right now. And until that changes, we are likely resolving higher.
    Thanks for comment! Will try learning more about option set ups and liquidity.

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  17. #21

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    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by DreamboatAnnie View Post
    Thanks for comment! Will try learning more about option set ups and liquidity.
    I was only pointing out some of the layers of this onion we call a market that can influence price action. I don't monitor options that closely myself as I try to trade in intermediate term time frames, but I know that the daily action can affect our longer term perspective if we don't keep things in context. Context for me means to focus on the intermediate term and try not to let day to day action effect that perspective too much. Of course, if one is trading on a day to day basis this kind of information may become more centric to how they execute their trades.

    Liquidity is something most folks only hear about in the mainstream media. But it's not an easy thing to quantify as it's kept at a relatively high level in terms of information that's available to the general masses. Many traders think Permanent Market Open Operations (POMO) are the only measure of how liquidity expands and contracts in the open market, but I don't think that's true. Marty Chenard at Stocktiming.com has a proprietary method of determining liquidity action and I can tell by his charts that POMO alone cannot be the sole source of his methodology. Even when POMO has been zero, his charting can show liquidity at something other than zero. I have also come to know that for quite some time there has been a high correlation between liquidity and market price action. A lot of traders and money managers recognize this too and like me they frame their market perspective accordingly.

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  19. #22

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by coolhand View Post
    I was only pointing out some of the layers of this onion we call a market that can influence price action. I don't monitor options that closely myself as I try to trade in intermediate term time frames, but I know that the daily action can affect our longer term perspective if we don't keep things in context. Context for me means to focus on the intermediate term and try not to let day to day action effect that perspective too much. Of course, if one is trading on a day to day basis this kind of information may become more centric to how they execute their trades.

    Liquidity is something most folks only hear about in the mainstream media. But it's not an easy thing to quantify as it's kept at a relatively high level in terms of information that's available to the general masses. Many traders think Permanent Market Open Operations (POMO) are the only measure of how liquidity expands and contracts in the open market, but I don't think that's true. Marty Chenard at Stocktiming.com has a proprietary method of determining liquidity action and I can tell by his charts that POMO alone cannot be the sole source of his methodology. Even when POMO has been zero, his charting can show liquidity at something other than zero. I have also come to know that for quite some time there has been a high correlation between liquidity and market price action. A lot of traders and money managers recognize this too and like me they frame their market perspective accordingly.

    Thanks for great info Coolhand! Spent a llot of time this weekend reading Chenard library of comments on Safehaven.com and also looked at his site plus read all I could on liquidity and a bit on options. Read a lot about Institutional liquidity and their moving in and out of market and how that impacts market.. Very interesting. Have not yet looked at POMO. Tried searches to figure out how liquidity is computed and saw how it is computed ...formulas...for individual stocks but I guess trick would be to not do all computations for entire indexes , etc... So he sells his charts on that but did not try to run numbers as I believe what you said about him using something else as well. Did seem to see correlation between his liquidity charts and MACD.. but really do not enough to say for sure.... saw that By reading some of his older posts... I believe around 2007. Was also interested in seeing what he was commenting in 2008 before first big drops. His site shows lots of big boys subscribed...impressive...so thinking about subscribing but not yet...too new to this.

    Oh.. And I really like Bollinger bands but read somewhere that Bollinger bands measure volatility but not liquidity. but looks like BB combined with reviewing MACD and RSI and reviewing the 10, 20 and 50 EMA is giving me some good guidance along with reading yours and other's account talks. Now willtry reading Marty's commentary and that of TSP TALK of course along with all account talks daily...good use of lunch time and couch potato time!

    Right now see BB contracting slightly as DOW goes higher but looks like it will come down. looking at that at a 3 month, 6 month, 1 year and 5 and 10 year. Market seems to be topping out...but not to say it would not go higher but agree it is ready for a correction. thinking to get out tomorrow ...I am already down to just 15 percent in S ....so not much at risk. Then can jump back in once I see better trend inBB/mACD/RSI ad MA's. Also noticed that I fund (EFA) BB is contracted...so now watching to see if it is headed for explosion up or down. MACD is not good at this point and candles running along lower band but look like they could go up. I am using Big charts.com to create charts because I use my iPad and cannot download charts program everyone here seems to use. In any case, thanks again!

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  21. #23

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    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    Sounds like it became a homework assignment.

    I'm glad you found it both interesting and meaningful.

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  23. #24

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    Well I said I would get out on Wednesday but just couldn't t bring myself to do it whilst it was going down. So at this point will wait to see... Market makes no sense... I thought Tuesday would be a sell off and Wednesday would be even... So my thinking is totally opposite of what is happening. Ugghhhh...

    Looking to get out.... Friday????Hope it moves up some.

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