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Thread: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

  1. #937

    Default Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by FireWeatherMet View Post
    A good CNBC analyst who was bullish since April...said "Don't fight this rally...it will go higher as the economy opens up...unless (or until) the economy is forced to shut back down again".
    The above has been my guiding light the past few months, and has kept me well above the indices so far this year.
    But 2 weeks ago...COVID cases started going up in nearly half the states (way more than the added testing BS excuse).
    Now, hospitalizations are starting to go up in most of those states. Thats what medical scientists said would happen.
    Beijing just had to go into shutdown mode again.
    Things getting worse in the middle of summer is NOT what the market was banking on during the rally of the past 3 months.

    I could be wrong...or maybe I'm right but my timing is off. So with that uncertainty, I'll bank whatever I make today in the S fund, and take half off the table.
    Leaving 100% S position and going 50% G and 50% S COB today.
    CURRENTLY 100% G (as of COB 03/18/2024) 1st March IFT

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  3. #938

    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Location
    Hampton Roads, VA
    Posts
    3,729

    Default Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    FWM... I do value your thoughts and insights, but their value quickly diminishes after 1200! Have a great weekend!
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

  4.  
  5. #939

    Join Date
    Sep 2006
    Location
    Rocky Mountain High
    Posts
    6,960

    Default Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    I have been meaning to ask/comment, about the timing of your posts, FWM. I wasn't sure if you were trying to post them so others would not be able to copy your moves.

    Quote Originally Posted by Whipsaw View Post
    FWM... I do value your thoughts and insights, but their value quickly diminishes after 1200! Have a great weekend!
    Weatherweenie's Account Talk
    Teddy Roosevelt: Patriotism means to stand by the country. It does not mean to stand by the president or any other public official. Retired on November 30, 2023 with 30+ years of service.

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  7. #940

    Default Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    COVID Cases rising sharply in over 20 states, including big ones like Florida, Texas and California...casting doubt on success of re-opening.
    Dow Transports down over 1% this morning.
    Stacks flat to slightly up.

    I'm cashing in today and leaving my 50% S and 50% G position and going 100% G COB today.
    See you all in July.
    CURRENTLY 100% G (as of COB 03/18/2024) 1st March IFT

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  9. #941

    Default Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    Bear Flags starting to show up on major indices, both here in the US and globally???

    bear flag.jpg
    CURRENTLY 100% G (as of COB 03/18/2024) 1st March IFT

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  11. #942

    Default Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    2 down days in a row...repositioning back into stocks. Going 100% S COB today.
    CURRENTLY 100% G (as of COB 03/18/2024) 1st March IFT

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  13. #943

    Default Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    Locking in near 3% monthly gain.
    Exiting 100% S and using 1st Aug IFT to temporarily go 100% G COB today.
    CURRENTLY 100% G (as of COB 03/18/2024) 1st March IFT

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  15. #944

    Default Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    Using 2nd Aug IFT to re-position on (what seems like) a down day.

    Leaving 100% G and going 50/50 C and S COB today.
    CURRENTLY 100% G (as of COB 03/18/2024) 1st March IFT

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  17. #945

    Default Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    Using 1st Sep IFT to just reposition from 50% C and 50% S into 100% S COB today.

    It likes like we've bottomed, at least in the short term...but lots of uncertainty for October.
    CURRENTLY 100% G (as of COB 03/18/2024) 1st March IFT


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  19. #946

    Default Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    Was considering using 1st OCT IFT yesterday to lock in 1.91% S fund gain.
    Now...with POTUS COVID situation, (and just announced that Trump is experiencing symptoms now), and the fact that others around him could end up positive in the coming days, this has the potential to be a slow moving Black Swan event
    I see the S has not fallen as much as other indices, actually flirting with positive territory as I write this. Who knows where it ends up by COB, but locking in any monthly gain now seems better than seeing what happens in the next several days.

    Using 1st Oct IFT to leave 100% S position and go 100% G COB today.
    CURRENTLY 100% G (as of COB 03/18/2024) 1st March IFT

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  21. #947

    Default Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    Not liking the volatility (with downward stock trajectory).
    Have locked in nearly 2% for the month by leaving stocks for the -G- in early Oct, and normally would use that last monthly IFT to go back into stocks. However, will use 2nd Oct IFT to try to make some $$ in the -F-.

    Leaving 100% G and going 100% F by COB today.
    CURRENTLY 100% G (as of COB 03/18/2024) 1st March IFT

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  23. #948

    Default Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    Hate buying in near recent highs...BUT...Don't Fight the Fed, the Vaccine Rollout, AND nearly 1 Trillion Stimulus Deal.

    Leaving 100% F and going 50% C and 50% S COB today.
    Last edited by FireWeatherMet; 12-16-2020 at 11:01 AM.
    CURRENTLY 100% G (as of COB 03/18/2024) 1st March IFT

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