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Thread: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

  1. #877

    Default Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    2nd down day in a row for the S, so plan on using 2nd Dec IFT to leave G Lillypad and head back into the S fund.
    We've had a good "melt-up" the past 2 weeks, and since most money managers are still on vacation, feel this is little more than small scale profit taking. VIX was trending slightly upward the past few days, then jumped 9% this morning.
    It will be interesting to see how major fund managers position themselves in early January, but at this point. I'll play the odds and go back in, after 2 down days that shaved 1% off the S fund.


    Using 2nd IFT to leave 100% G and go 100% S COB today.
    Good luck to everyone this New Year!
    CURRENTLY 100% G (as of COB 03/18/2024) 1st March IFT

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  3. #878

    Default Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    Entered the New Year in the S fund, enjoying the X-mas rally, but euphoria seems so high (as is our Sentiment Survey) that I don't feel good about it.
    I've seen some hefty January drops the past decade when everyone thinks stocks will just keep going up.

    Using 1st IFT to leave S and go into safety (100% G). Bull market seems still intact, just want to exit near all-time highs and buy back into a lower price in the coming days, weeks if we get a 2-3% pullback.
    CURRENTLY 100% G (as of COB 03/18/2024) 1st March IFT

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  5. #879

    Default Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    Todays action should put me ahead of the S fund for the month, with a 2nd "lower low" indicated by red point on chart below. (Maybe, as we never know if there will be an afternoon snap back rally).
    Using 2nd Jan IFT to leave 100% G position and go 100% S COB today.

    S Fund.jpg
    CURRENTLY 100% G (as of COB 03/18/2024) 1st March IFT

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  7. #880

    Default Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    Latest move sent me from the 700's in the Tracker up to near the top in the past week. Patience (waiting for the late January dip) paid off.
    Now with 2 strong up days, trying not to get too greedy. Seems unlikely to see new highs right away given CoronaVirus uncertainties...and possible bear flag on major indices...so will lock in +3% for Feb and use 1st Feb IFT to sell 100% S and go back into 100% G COB today.
    CURRENTLY 100% G (as of COB 03/18/2024) 1st March IFT

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  9. #881

    Join Date
    Sep 2006
    Location
    Rocky Mountain High
    Posts
    6,960

    Default Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    Great call!

    Quote Originally Posted by FireWeatherMet View Post
    Latest move sent me from the 700's in the Tracker up to near the top in the past week. Patience (waiting for the late January dip) paid off.
    Now with 2 strong up days, trying not to get too greedy. Seems unlikely to see new highs right away given CoronaVirus uncertainties...and possible bear flag on major indices...so will lock in +3% for Feb and use 1st Feb IFT to sell 100% S and go back into 100% G COB today.
    Weatherweenie's Account Talk
    Teddy Roosevelt: Patriotism means to stand by the country. It does not mean to stand by the president or any other public official. Retired on November 30, 2023 with 30+ years of service.

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  11. #882

    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Location
    Hampton Roads, VA
    Posts
    3,729

    Default Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    FWM, you rock! OBTW, moves and justification posts before noon, if possible.
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!


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  13. #883

    Default Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    With a near 3% drop today, if I leave the G fund and go back into stocks, I'll end up 2% ahead of the C and S funds YTD.
    My system is screaming for me to go all into C and S today. BUT, with reports that Fidelity and other brokerage firms are having technical difficulties with people not being able to access their accounts, I fear the big sell-off may continue tomorrow.
    Might move in today, or wait till tomorrow...will decide with 5 minutes before deadline.

    Fidelity, Schwab say some clients experienced technical issues amid 800-point Dow plunge


    https://www.cnbc.com/2020/02/24/fide...ow-plunge.html
    CURRENTLY 100% G (as of COB 03/18/2024) 1st March IFT

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  15. #884

    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Location
    Hampton Roads, VA
    Posts
    3,729

    Default Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    Be sure you can actually get in to your account... the email pass codes are killing me.
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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  17. #885

    Default Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    Avoiding temptation of trying to time the bottom...leaving safety of G and going full into stocks.
    Leaving 100% G and entering 50% C and 50% S COB today.
    CURRENTLY 100% G (as of COB 03/18/2024) 1st March IFT

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  19. #886

    Join Date
    Dec 2009
    Location
    Oregon
    Posts
    3,651

    Default Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by FireWeatherMet View Post
    With a near 3% drop today, if I leave the G fund and go back into stocks, I'll end up 2% ahead of the C and S funds YTD.
    My system is screaming for me to go all into C and S today. BUT, with reports that Fidelity and other brokerage firms are having technical difficulties with people not being able to access their accounts, I fear the big sell-off may continue tomorrow.
    Might move in today, or wait till tomorrow...will decide with 5 minutes before deadline.

    Fidelity, Schwab say some clients experienced technical issues amid 800-point Dow plunge


    https://www.cnbc.com/2020/02/24/fide...ow-plunge.html
    The AAII site is also crashed this morning (American Assoc of Individual Investors). I';m with you. Far better safe than sorry at times like these. Moving my wife's VG IRA $ to a safe place as well.

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  21. #887

    Default Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Whipsaw View Post
    Be sure you can actually get in to your account... the email pass codes are killing me.
    No issues. After I entered my initial PW, and selected cell text, I got a text message on my cell within 5 seconds with 2nd code...entered it and was in my account instantly.

    Reminder...do NOT use email. Use text msg to cell. Email can take several minutes I've found.
    CURRENTLY 100% G (as of COB 03/18/2024) 1st March IFT

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  23. #888

    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Location
    Hampton Roads, VA
    Posts
    3,729

    Default Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    FWIW, today the email arrived post haste, I called and griped pointedly to the helpdesk (waited to talk to a warm body). Maybe they did something...?
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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