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Thread: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

  1. #853

    Default Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    Todays up action takes the Bear Flag to its upper flagpoint.
    If you believe in charting, you would believe that the next major move is downward.

    By the way, unrelated note...Sheltered my wifes 401(k) which is done thru her company via T Rowe Price. They had nearly a dozen funds to choose from, including those that mimic our -F- and -G- funds.
    They do let you move up till 10 minutes before the close of trading to get counted COB that day (unlike our Noon ET deadline).
    BUT...you are only allowed ONE move every 30 DAYS! And not once a month, but literally if you make a move on August 29th, you have to wait till Sep 29th to move again.
    Oh yeah, and each move costs about $25, which gets deducted from your account.

    Bear Flag.jpg
    CURRENTLY 100% G (as of COB 03/18/2024) 1st March IFT

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  3. #854

    Join Date
    Jun 2014
    Location
    Virginia
    Posts
    680

    Default Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    As much as we complain the TSP transactions are not as maniacally austere as others, but even though they once made sense, a little bit of loosening is justified. Any change is a slippery slope and I actually like the TSP method which either makes you stay in most of the month or out. However, since technology allows much more, I really think they should allow more that two positive IFTs per month.

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  5. #855

    Join Date
    Apr 2008
    Location
    Cleveland, Ohio
    Posts
    12,148

    Default Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by pmaloney View Post
    As much as we complain the TSP transactions are not as maniacally austere as others, but even though they once made sense, a little bit of loosening is justified. Any change is a slippery slope and I actually like the TSP method which either makes you stay in most of the month or out. However, since technology allows much more, I really think they should allow more that two positive IFTs per month.
    I know they say our transaction fees are really low but even if we could see 4 IFT's a month that would help. I wonder how many people make a move per month and how many IFT's they make? Or maybe a better question is, how many IFT's are made per month throughout the whole TSP realm?
    May the force be with us.


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  7. #856

    Default Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by nasa1974 View Post
    I know they say our transaction fees are really low but even if we could see 4 IFT's a month that would help. I wonder how many people make a move per month and how many IFT's they make? Or maybe a better question is, how many IFT's are made per month throughout the whole TSP realm?
    Well as for me, the 2 IFT (1 round trip) limit has drastically affected how much and when I make an IFT. There are many months I don't make any moves at all. I haven't made one yet this year. If I had had 3 IFTs (2 market entries) I would have made some moves this Summer that would have left me in a better position than where I am right now. I think this is what the FRTIB wants. They don't want us to move out money around. Unfortunately I'm not comfortable with that. But I need a system that works with the 2 IFT limit and I haven't found one I like yet. I can't stand being locked out for the rest of the month when the market starts to recover and I don't like getting out too early in the month because I may need that IFT a week or so later. That tends to leave me frozen in place many months.
    Allocations as of COB Dec 28 : 100% S. | Retirement Date:Dec 2025
    Past Returns:
    2020 31.85%,2019 27.97%,2018 -3.36%,2017 13.10%, 2016 -1.79%, 5Yr Avg 12.61%

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  9. #857

    Default Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by pmaloney View Post
    As much as we complain the TSP transactions are not as maniacally austere as others, but even though they once made sense, a little bit of loosening is justified. Any change is a slippery slope and I actually like the TSP method which either makes you stay in most of the month or out. However, since technology allows much more, I really think they should allow more that two positive IFTs per month.
    Given your point about Technology, if a massive Fund Company like T Rowe can execute COB transfers within 10 minutes of COB, then certainly TSP can.
    That would prevent a lot of intraday reversal heart-aches.
    CURRENTLY 100% G (as of COB 03/18/2024) 1st March IFT

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  11. #858

    Default Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    FWM, You hit the nail on the head! That is the true crime in all of this and how TSP is set up. Surely they could allow us to transact closer to end of day. I can't help but think someone is profiting from this 4 hour lag (from when he submit our IFTs to when price is set).

    I also agree with NASA about how great it would be to have even 4 IFTs per month. That would expand our ability to make much more money. As it stands now, must decide whether to be invested by the end of the month to be in the invested at start of next month, then exit the next month when necessary and still have one IFT left to re-enter later in that next month. Rinse, Repeat!

    I have noticed that in many instances there is an increase in equities during first few days of market.... obviously that does not always happen. But it happens enough to where I look at charts and then try to take a calculated risk on whether to be invested at start of next month. What really chaps my hide is not having an IFT a week before end of month to where your hands are tied if market is heading up. Uggghh… now that's truly sick! But that 4 -hour window of hand wringing after you submit an IFT is just downright ridiculous and unnecessary!
    Last edited by DreamboatAnnie; 08-31-2019 at 11:49 AM.
    Don't take my comments as trading advice /IFT: 2-13-24=100G/https://www.theepochtimes.com/ & http://www.ewg.org/PermaCharts@p430#5159/strategy#4918p.410

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  13. #859

    Default Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    Agreed on all counts. As for profit....look no farther then the I fund fv.

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  15. #860

    Default Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    False alarm on September exodus from markets.
    Using first September IFT to leave G Lillypad, and go 100% C COB today.
    Still wary of high October volatility but don't feel like market crash is gong to happen tomorrow (famous last words-gulp)!
    CURRENTLY 100% G (as of COB 03/18/2024) 1st March IFT

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  17. #861

    Join Date
    Feb 2013
    Location
    Sometimes Maryland, Sometimes Texas
    Posts
    3,504

    Default Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by FireWeatherMet View Post
    False alarm on September exodus from markets.
    Using first September IFT to leave G Lillypad, and go 100% C COB today.
    Still wary of high October volatility but don't feel like market crash is gong to happen tomorrow (famous last words-gulp)!
    Full steam ahead...famous last words of the Captain of the Titanic...
    "the biggest mistake that traders make is to let these short-term trades turn into longer-term investments when they don’t work." RevShark

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  19. #862

    Default Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by FireWeatherMet View Post
    False alarm on September exodus from markets.
    Using first September IFT to leave G Lillypad, and go 100% C COB today.
    Still wary of high October volatility but don't feel like market crash is gong to happen tomorrow (famous last words-gulp)!
    Well, seems the only thing I got right with this move was "Famous Last Words-Gulp".
    CURRENTLY 100% G (as of COB 03/18/2024) 1st March IFT

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  21. #863

    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Location
    Hampton Roads, VA
    Posts
    3,729

    Default Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    You and me both.
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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  23. #864

    Default Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    Having recovered nearly all of the losses of last week (in the C fund), I have used 1st Oct IFT to get back into Safety, and wait for a lower price to get back in.
    PivotBoss video confirmed my thoughts that we might be hitting resistance and choping (at least briefly) back down.

    Leaving 100% C position COB tday and going 100% G.
    CURRENTLY 100% G (as of COB 03/18/2024) 1st March IFT


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