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Thread: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

  1. #793

    Default Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    Thanks! I almost bailed as well but missed the cutoff. I am even on recent trades now. (I went in on November 23 and got out on December 3 for about a 6% gain; went back in on the 12th for, as of now, about a 6% loss).

    I wish I had made the change today as I would have, hopefully, gotten out with a little profit. Risk/reward is staying way to high for me and I would have bailed after the first 3-4% down if A) we had more moves and B) we hadn't been so close to Christmas. May wait till Wednesday to see if the Fibonacci pans out....

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  3. #794

    Join Date
    Mar 2006
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    Default Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    Technical trading issues. That I do not know???

    But, the private sector being concerned about this Gubmint Shutdown... Not so much... Bad for us as Gubmint workers, but bad for the economy? Why? This was not a smart move. The Trumpster will not play 'The Washington Monument Game'. The stuff that folks want or that needs to run will be there and funded.
    Lookin' up at the 'G Fund'!!!

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  5. #795

    Join Date
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    Default Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    What if the Gubmint had a shutdown.
    And, nobody cared.
    Lookin' up at the 'G Fund'!!!

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  7. #796

    Default Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    Boghie, your portfolio might care about the shutdown. You forgot to include 800,000 people not getting a paycheck, which could act like 800K jobs lost this month, which in turn effects monthly GDP. Other things that Trump obviously didn't think of, was in places like Florida where real estate flood approval plans are needed for real estate transactions, would not be available. Rubio is trying to get that portion put under essential. The markets are showing Global slowdown and economic uncertainty here in the US, and if the president and Congress are battling over their own government in terms of whether to keep it running, that throws much more uncertainty into Wall Street. No way the market goes up if this shutdown goes much past New Year's, no matter what one hears on the Rush Limbaugh show.

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  9. #797

    Default Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    Interesting, and a little scary. Shows that the administration has no economic experts. https://www.cnbc.com/amp/2018/12/28/...k-markets.html

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  11. #798

    Join Date
    Jun 2004
    Location
    Boiled Peanut, Georgia, USA
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    76,393

    Default Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    Was involved in two shutdowns or more and always got paid for the time off the next payday after the shutdown, Free Vacation and paid for it, nobody is NOT getting paid.



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  13. #799

    Join Date
    Feb 2011
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    Washington
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    9,583

    Default Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by nnuut View Post
    Was involved in two shutdowns or more and always got paid for the time off the next payday after the shutdown, Free Vacation and paid for it, nobody is NOT getting paid.
    Nnuut, nobody cares about government shutdowns unless the President has an R after their name...

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  15. #800

    Join Date
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    Default Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by FireWeatherMet View Post
    Interesting, and a little scary. Shows that the administration has no economic experts. https://www.cnbc.com/amp/2018/12/28/...k-markets.html
    Only if you believe all anonymous sources ever quoted by CNBC.

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  17. #801

    Default Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by FireWeatherMet View Post
    Interesting, and a little scary. Shows that the administration has no economic experts. https://www.cnbc.com/amp/2018/12/28/...k-markets.html
    How about Larry Kudlow? Ironically, he was the economic expert on CNBC for a while.
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.


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  19. #802

    Join Date
    Jul 2012
    Location
    Honolulu, Hawaii
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    1,823

    Default Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by nnuut View Post
    Was involved in two shutdowns or more and always got paid for the time off the next payday after the shutdown, Free Vacation and paid for it, nobody is NOT getting paid.
    It's the whole uncertainty not knowing how log it'll be or when we're getting paid next. I turned down a ski trip invite for the weekend and went to Costco instead. Now spending time doing cheap hobbies like brewing and surfing

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  21. #803

    Default Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by FireWeatherMet View Post
    Fading this 2-3 day monster rally. Doesn't feel like the bottom yet especially given all the Washington uncertainty still in the air, and after watching CNBC's Fast Money's Carter Worth, he laid out some pretty good points on why there is likely more to go.

    Using 1st Dec IFT to exit S and C funds, shifting all into F, COB today (Dec 28).

    BTW, this is a Fibonacci Retracement I did a week ago on the S&P, based on medium term bottom and tops. Notice where we are now near 2487 around noon EST, piercing the 1st 2 levels with 2254 being the next.

    Attachment 43956
    I hate starting the month out of the markets because of the move limitations but I am hedging towards going to a G/F split this morning. ^DJT has flatlined and nothing is looking that great to me. An hour to decide but am pretty sure I am bailing.

    Happy New Year!

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  23. #804

    Default Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    Loving life in the F-fund, my last IFT in late Dec 2018.

    Re-charted the Fibonacci Retracements from the pre-selected Highs and Lows as anchor points to current S&P levels.
    Looks like we are headed for the 61.8% retracement ultimately. That would be about another 8% down from current levels.

    Fibonacci.jpg

    And the F fund (5 year chart below) is looking like its breaking out.

    F-Fund.jpg
    Last edited by FireWeatherMet; 01-03-2019 at 02:34 PM.

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