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Thread: Birchtree's Account Talk

  1. #9433

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    Default Re: Birchtree's Account Talk

    I know I'm such a dreamer - but here goes. I wouldn't be at all surprised if the third and final reading of the GDP comes in close to 2.0% - because of the durable goods numbers this past week were stronger than estimated. That would absolutely clobber the bond market. And there is nothing holding back the bullish stampede from crushing the short hair bears. If we can pop the SPX level of 1160 all hoofers will go wild - even those on the sidelines. Could this be the beginning of the early stages of a 3 of 3 of 3 move that will last deep into 2011 - ain't nobody going see it coming.

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  3. #9434

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    Default Re: Birchtree's Account Talk

    "Trend channel analysis suggest stocks are about to fall. On the other hand, a decisive rise above the upper boundary line could be quite Bullish."

    http://www.safehaven.com/article/183...-about-to-fall

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  5. #9435

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    Default Re: Birchtree's Account Talk

    "My best estimate, at this stage of the wave structure, is for a top around the previous SPX 1576 high by February 2012." Allah knows I sure don't want to wait that long.

    http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article23007.html

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  7. #9436

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    Default Re: Birchtree's Account Talk

    "On Friday 98% of the S&P 500 companies were up. According to Reuters, after the midterm elections, the S&P 500 has posted gains 18 out of the last 19 times. In the following six months the returns were up 13% on average, and up 17% after 12 months. Maybe the markets are looking ahead."

    http://greefaucet.com/the-market/no-fear/64754

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  9. #9437

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    Default Re: Birchtree's Account Talk

    "On Friday 98% of the S&P 500 companies were up. According to Reuters, after the midterm elections, the S&P 500 has posted gains 18 out of the last 19 times. In the following six months the returns were up 13% on average, and up 17% after 12 months. Maybe the markets are looking ahead."

    http://greenfaucet.com/the-market/no-fear/64754

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  11. #9438

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    Default Re: Birchtree's Account Talk

    If the futures are correct this evening it's going to be hot, hot, hot on the opening.

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  13. #9439

    Default Re: Birchtree's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Birchtree View Post
    If the futures are correct this evening it's going to be hot, hot, hot on the opening.
    And a "hell" of a lot hotter once we pass 666 and Lucifer is standing on the ledge laughing as we fall past. I hope you are selling the rallies.
    "I'll gladly pay you Tuesday for a hamburger today"
    http://www.corepuncher.com/misc/tsploan_public.xls

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  15. #9440

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    Default Re: Birchtree's Account Talk

    I'm trying to avoid any selling for the rest of the year primarily for tax reasons. I did take some profits back in February and now taxes will be due.

    "It now looks as if the SPX started a cyclical bull market in March 2009 and that it completed an intermediate correction at 1011 befotre resuming its uptrend. The first phase of the new uptrend ended at 1130 and a short term correction down to 1041 ensued - probably as a result of the 4-year cycle making its low. Since then, an initial target of 1148 has been met, and the index appears to be deliberating whether it should move up to its next projection of 1168 before correcting into the 9-mo/17-wk cycle lows due around 10/18."

    http://www.safehaven.com/article/18330/turning-points

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  17. #9441

    Default Re: Birchtree's Account Talk

    Thought you'd like this, B...

    Dow `Super Boom' to Drive Average to 38,820 by 2025, Hirsch Says

    "The Dow Jones Industrial Average will surge to 38,820 in an eight-year “super boom” beginning in 2017, according to Jeffrey A. Hirsch, editor in chief of the “Stock Trader’s Almanac.”
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.


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  19. #9442

    Default Re: Birchtree's Account Talk

    What's that in today's dollars?

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  21. #9443

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    Default Re: Birchtree's Account Talk

    Thanks Tom - I'd seen it earlier. Stuff like that will only cause anxiety among those sitting on the sidelines to increase. All I have to do is sit tight with my base and add up the dollars - but I can't sit still. I need to continue to build my small fortune. I remember a saying from years back - "you are not worth your salt unless you build a small fortune and then loose a small fortune - only to rebuild it again." That's where I'm at. I think Tepper has it right with the animal spirits ready to kick into high gear.

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  23. #9444

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    Default Re: Birchtree's Account Talk

    Oh shame on me. I noticed that 13 folks were loading up on the S fund COB so may they experience the blessing of paying $18.50 a share. I know I shouldn't act this way but there is always a price to pay when you chase momentum - I'd do the same thing if I wanted more C fund. At least I'm not using the term mollusk. Snort.

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