Tab Content
  • JTH's Avatar
    Today, 07:43 AM
    Good morning We’ve closed 91 sessions over the 50-SMA, today will be a tie-breaker for 8th place across the previous 21-years. On the last 11...
    9546 replies | 1210230 view(s)
  • JTH's Avatar
    Yesterday, 06:21 AM
    Good Morning Currently 1.86% YTD, 100G, with 1 IFT. I’m looking for a 1st quarter 3% gain, (achievable) we just need a good run into the end of...
    9546 replies | 1210230 view(s)
  • JTH's Avatar
    03-16-2024, 07:56 AM
    Gotta love it S&P 500, 3rd Friday's 15th day of March had the highest volume since the 3rd Friday's 15th day of the December. Looks like 15 of...
    5874 replies | 1215542 view(s)
  • JTH's Avatar
    03-15-2024, 11:55 AM
    Opps (typo) the chart title above should read "S&P 500, 2003-2024, Worst 500 Days" Anyhow, if today closes down, it will be our first...
    9546 replies | 1210230 view(s)
  • JTH's Avatar
    03-15-2024, 07:50 AM
    Good morning (the sky is falling) As a habit, I tend to avoid buying anything on a Friday. Reason being, bad news gets slipped in on Friday...
    9546 replies | 1210230 view(s)
  • JTH's Avatar
    03-14-2024, 03:07 PM
    Yea, an interesting day, darn near everything was green on the pre-markets, it looked like it could be a +1% day, but then the inflation news dropped...
    9546 replies | 1210230 view(s)
  • JTH's Avatar
    03-14-2024, 08:30 AM
    SPY Pre-Markets looked good this morning but there was some selling in the last hour of trading.
    9546 replies | 1210230 view(s)
  • JTH's Avatar
    03-12-2024, 08:35 AM
    Good morning (for fun) From 8-March, going back 100 pre-market sessions on the SPY ETF, all 11 of the 30-minute pre-market sessions closed above...
    9546 replies | 1210230 view(s)
  • JTH's Avatar
    03-11-2024, 08:12 AM
    Good morning Although we did breach the previous week's low, buyers stepped in quickly at 5057, so now we have 2 weekly lows in the 5057 area,...
    9546 replies | 1210230 view(s)
  • JTH's Avatar
    03-10-2024, 07:24 AM
    Good Morning For myself, I’m back to 100G, the 8-Day 70% S-Fund allocation yielded an additional .83% For the past 27 sessions, the...
    9546 replies | 1210230 view(s)
  • JTH's Avatar
    03-08-2024, 12:36 PM
    It was a curious observation, this morning the pre-markets were down slightly much of the session, then flipped over to green before the open. Since...
    5874 replies | 1215542 view(s)
  • JTH's Avatar
    03-08-2024, 11:00 AM
    IFT EoB today from 30G/70S to 100G (1st IFT this month) Have a great weekend!
    9546 replies | 1210230 view(s)
  • JTH's Avatar
    03-08-2024, 09:31 AM
    Good morning (post 2 of 2) Our 5th trading day closed up 1.20% MTD. Historically a positive March trading day-5 closed the month up 6 times...
    9546 replies | 1210230 view(s)
  • JTH's Avatar
    03-08-2024, 05:36 AM
    Good morning (post 1 of 2) This week both the S&P 500 and the Small Cap’s Top-10 & Top-50 lose some strength, while the Sectors add a tad. ...
    9546 replies | 1210230 view(s)
  • JTH's Avatar
    03-07-2024, 02:17 PM
    Good afternoon We are now at the point where a 50% retracemnt of the Oct-Mar wave would be a -10% correction (impressive). Within the 63-Day...
    9546 replies | 1210230 view(s)
  • JTH's Avatar
    03-06-2024, 01:53 PM
    Interesting how we filled the upper gap, but I don't like today's price action, just sort of feels like there's going to be a dump tomorrow...
    5874 replies | 1215542 view(s)
  • JTH's Avatar
    03-06-2024, 06:49 AM
    JTH replied to a thread Bitcoin in Bitcoin / Cryptocurrencies
    This is what I find interesting, how will the ETFs move BTC, or will BTC move the ETFs, it seems the tail can wag the dog now. I emptied my crypto...
    823 replies | 265130 view(s)
  • JTH's Avatar
    03-06-2024, 06:31 AM
    Good morning (Our 3-Day performance is -.35%) I have some interesting positive short-term data followed by some disappointing long-term data to...
    9546 replies | 1210230 view(s)
  • JTH's Avatar
    03-05-2024, 02:44 PM
    Well, I must have Jinxed it today, we've broken through last weeks low, so the 8-weeks of higher highs & lows has been broken.
    9546 replies | 1210230 view(s)
  • JTH's Avatar
    03-05-2024, 11:58 AM
    Last weeks low of 5057.29 (if it breaks) will perhaps give us a decent buying opportunity. With 2 IFTs, and already 70S-Fund I myself want something...
    9546 replies | 1210230 view(s)
  • JTH's Avatar
    03-05-2024, 11:15 AM
    Those Terrible Tuesdays...
    9546 replies | 1210230 view(s)
  • JTH's Avatar
    03-05-2024, 10:03 AM
    27 Oct 2023 was the last pullback in the range your looking at. The average 3-Day -3% pullback is 7.6 a year over the past 5 years which closed...
    1333 replies | 277774 view(s)
  • JTH's Avatar
    03-05-2024, 09:14 AM
    JTH replied to a thread Guess Who This Is... in Entertainment
    Looks a little like the guy from MASH, but then I cheated and he's not the guy from MASH but he did appear in MASH.
    1849 replies | 158704 view(s)
  • JTH's Avatar
    03-05-2024, 07:29 AM
    Good morning (interesting weekly observation) Off the Oct-2023 low, the following 9 weeks gave us a higher high & higher low. Off the...
    9546 replies | 1210230 view(s)
  • JTH's Avatar
    03-04-2024, 08:22 AM
    Good morning This week, I’ve posted both the last 11 and 27 session charts. For the last 11, Thursday is powerful, having an 82% win ratio...
    9546 replies | 1210230 view(s)
  • JTH's Avatar
    03-03-2024, 05:42 AM
    Good morning ;damnit There was a data error in the last chart of the March Blog, the data was correct, I just used the wrong date for the 9-day...
    9546 replies | 1210230 view(s)
  • JTH's Avatar
    03-01-2024, 02:27 PM
    Our last Friday is a holiday (if that counts).
    4416 replies | 823876 view(s)
  • JTH's Avatar
    03-01-2024, 05:52 AM
    Good morning (keeping it short) Volume on Thursday was high, but does it mean anything? I don’t know but if you ask me again in a week I’ll know...
    9546 replies | 1210230 view(s)
  • JTH's Avatar
    02-29-2024, 03:51 PM
    That's it February is in the books. "This Feb ranked as the 7th best of 64 Februaries with a 5.17% monthly gain. Jan & Feb together rank as the...
    9546 replies | 1210230 view(s)
  • JTH's Avatar
    02-29-2024, 03:45 PM
    JTH created a blog entry Stats for March in JTH
    Greetings (Last Chart Revised) Here's a yearly projection, followed by a March Projection, capped off with a 9-day word of caution. February...
    1 replies | 789 view(s)
More Activity

5 Visitor Messages

  1. View Conversation
    Thanks for sharing all this data. I’m glad 😀 thanks for your input and PLEASE keep us posted when you do.
  2. View Conversation
    Thanks for sharing all this data. I’m glad 😀 thanks for your input and PLEASE keep us posted when you do.
  3. View Conversation
    Also will consider s when it hits below 890 (symbol:
  4. View Conversation
    Tsp millionaire will stay in g until @ 1875-1900

  5. Click here:
    For the latest MARCON report updated weekly.

    Market Conditions Advisory System:
    A market price advisory system based on the 26-week high/low over multiple indexes. Using the RIMTV (Reference, Interpretation, Momentum, Trend, and Volume) method to grade prices. Updated Monthly.

    2011 Personal Performance Report:
    A trading journal outlining my thoughts on the markets as they exist in the present. Also, the latest statistical data concerning my IFTs. Updated after each IFT & Monthly.

    Freestockcharts: The best free charting service available, you need Microsoft Silverlight installed,
Showing Visitor Messages 1 to 5 of 5

Statistics


Total Posts
Total Posts
8,417
Posts Per Day
1.38
Albums
Total Albums
1
Total Photos
0
Visitor Messages
Total Messages
5
Most Recent Message
11-19-2023 08:10 AM
General Information
Join Date
07-13-2007
Referrals
0
Page 1 of 11 123 ... LastLast

03-18-2024


03-17-2024

  • 12:22 PM - tsptalk clicked Likes for this post: Sunday by JTH
    Good Morning ...
  • 08:21 AM - nnuut clicked Likes for this post: Sunday by JTH
    Good Morning ...

03-16-2024


03-15-2024


03-14-2024


03-13-2024



Page 1 of 11 123 ... LastLast
View JTH's Blog

Recent Entries

Stats for March

by JTH on 02-29-2024 at 03:45 PM
Greetings (Last Chart Revised)

Here's a yearly projection, followed by a March Projection, capped off with a 9-day word of caution.

February 2024 was a phenomenal month, across the previous 63 years from 1961:

This Feb ranked as the 7th best of 64 Februaries with a 5.17% monthly gain.
Jan & Feb together rank as the 13th best of 64 with a 6.84% YTD gain.


While not a quarterly stat, at 11.57% this Dec/Jan/Feb together rank as the 9th best

Read More

Updated 03-03-2024 at 05:33 AM by JTH

Categories
Stats

Stats for February

by JTH on 02-01-2024 at 05:13 AM
Greetings

Generally speaking it was an average middle of the road January. Ranking 33rd of 63, this January closed up 1.59%, our MTD intra-high ranked 26th at 3.92% and our MTD intra-low ranked 23rd best at -1.33%.

namor's Vegas Boxer Account Talk-202402-1-png

While we did close Jan above the average of closes, thus far this quarter we are under-performing this same metric on the weekly chart for the 1st quarter averages. Further reading can be found in the Stats for Q1 Blog.

Read More

Categories
Stats

TSP Fund Correlation

by JTH on 01-09-2024 at 06:47 AM
Greetings

TLDR: When The C-Fund closes up, the FSI Funds are more likely to close up. When The C-Fund closes down, the FSI Funds are less likely to close down.

Since I consider our C-Fund to be the standard by which all other funds should be measured, I thought it would be a good time to measure the correlation of the funds. Simply put, how often do the FSI funds trade in the same direction or against the C-Fund. For this study I've chosen to use 11, 27, 55, & 101 sessions,

Read More

Updated 01-09-2024 at 07:05 AM by JTH

Categories
Uncategorized

Stats for January

by JTH on 01-01-2024 at 04:31 AM
Happy New Year

This is the 3rd & final of a three-part series starting off 2024 with blogs covering the Yearly, Quarterly, and Monthly timeframe.

Ranking 11th of 63, December of 2023 closed up 4.42% making it a Top 17% close across the past 63 months of December. Our MTD intra-high was 5.13% ranking 11th, and our MTD intra-low was -.28% ranking 9th best.
day trading vs hold steady-20230101-1-png

___
We are now using a new 63-year timeframe from 1961-2023. Comparing

Read More

Categories
Uncategorized

Stats for Q1

by JTH on 12-31-2023 at 04:50 AM
Greetings

This is the 2nd of a three-part series starting off 2024 with blogs covering the Yearly, Quarterly, and Monthly timeframe.


Ranking 8th of 63, Q4 of 2023 closed up 11.24% making it a Top 13% close across the past 63 years of 4th Quarters. Our QTD High (not much higher) was 11.78% ranking 13th, and our QTD low was -4.30% ranking 39th best.
Market Talk-20230101-1-png

___
With a new year we roll the statistics forward, and are now using

Read More

Updated 12-31-2023 at 07:53 AM by JTH

Categories
Uncategorized
S&P500 (C Fund) (delayed)

(Stockcharts.com Real-time)
DWCPF (S Fund) (delayed)

(Stockcharts.com Real-time)
EFA (I Fund) (delayed)

(Stockcharts.com Real-time)
BND (F Fund) (delayed)

(Stockcharts.com Real-time)

Yahoo Finance Realtime TSP Fund Tracking Index Quotes