Ouch. Well I must first say that I can't predict the future. But I think very few really saw this month's rally coming so not many others can either. I think your best approach is to really get into the mindset of an investor. When you jump into a TSP stock fund I think its helpful to imagine you are putting money into a single company. Then you decide if the price for a share of the single company (the fund) is worth your money. Do you think you are getting a bargain price and the company (fund) is bound to grow. Or do you think the company (fund) is asking too much for what its really worth.
If you are attempting to become a swing trader like a lot of us on this site, I think buying before the stock indices have proved they can trade above the 200-day EMA is unwise. Indices are very capable of at least testing support before extending higher from here; buts that just me. Read Tom's free market analysis he writes everyday. He usually stays pretty neutral to give you some perspective.
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