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Thread: Last Month's Best Fund Method Strategy

  1. #217

    Default Re: Last Month's Best Fund Method Strategy

    Quote Originally Posted by ArchAngel View Post
    I'm a bit confused (not difficult for me). According to the autotracker LMBM is sitting at 4.12% wheras the I fund is at 2.69%. How does LMBM earn almost another 2% when it has been in I all month? What am I missing?
    It was actually in the S fund on the first trading day of January.

    Officially, it doesn't know which fund it is going to be in during the following month until after the last share prices of the month are posted, which is too late to make an IFT on the last day of the month. That means the IFT is input on the first trading day of the new month, putting it in the new fund on the 2nd trading day of the new month.

    Simple, right?
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

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  3. #218

    Join Date
    Dec 2010
    Location
    Eastern Washington
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    127

    Default Re: Last Month's Best Fund Method Strategy

    Got it now. Thanks Tom!

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  5. #219

    Join Date
    Apr 2005
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    14,693
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    Default Re: Last Month's Best Fund Method Strategy

    Last Month Best Month method:

    Results are in for January.

    As of Jan 31, the results are: I fund continues to be the best of the lot.

    We'll stay in "I" fund for the next month.

    Here is the data tonight-
    January 2011:

    G= + 0.24%
    F= + 0.13%
    C= + 2.37%
    S= + 1.23%
    I = + 2.41%

    So "I" continues to be the best performing fund, and we'll stay in "I" for February.

    (Note- this graphic I got off Govexec.com tonight- and it contains errors. The prices are right, but the "daily change" is all wrong. I'll post TSPTALK's correct numbers after Tom posts them. Thanks)



    P.S. - the L-2050 fund officially opened today at the close of business, and is now at $10.00 a share.

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  7. #220

    Default Re: Last Month's Best Fund Method Strategy

    Interesting. I dumped everything into the L2050. I want to see how long it takes to get to 15 or 16 a share, then Ill dump it pick up on the LMBFM again.

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  9. #221

    Join Date
    Sep 2007
    Location
    The Woodlands, TX
    Posts
    292

    Default Re: Last Month's Best Fund Method Strategy

    Good month for the I Fund... and all ready a good start for February! And this with the chaos in Epgyt.

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  11. #222

    Join Date
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    Default Re: Last Month's Best Fund Method Strategy

    Happy end of February.

    Last month-Best Month method moves this month- the "I" fund was good, but "S" fund was better, so in the morning we'll place a trade to move from "I" to "S" again.

    How much longer will this trend last? Who knows? Not me. So we'll go with the momentum.

    Here's the data for February- showing "S" in the lead:
    Attachment 10694

    Making the move to "S" in the morning. Happy investing.



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  13. #223

    Join Date
    Jan 2011
    Location
    Okinawa, Japan
    Posts
    1,458

    Thumbs up Re: Last Month's Best Fund Method Strategy

    Hi - I just discovered this thread/system tonight. Very intriguing!

    I've been following the Sentiment Survey for the last several months, and am committed to see one system through for at least a year. But I'll be following this as a comparison. Thanks for sharing!

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  15. #224

    Default Re: Last Month's Best Fund Method Strategy

    Two month report card for my LMBF:

    In 14-th place out of 718 on the autotracker.

    Present return: 6.38% Yearly projection: 38.28% !!!

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  17. #225

    Default Re: Last Month's Best Fund Method Strategy

    Looks like its the S Fund for April.

    http://www.tsptalk.com/tsp_share_prices.html


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  19. Default Re: Last Month's Best Fund Method Strategy

    YAY...don't have to move anything!!

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  21. #227

    Join Date
    Apr 2005
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    Default Re: Last Month's Best Fund Method Strategy

    Yes- officially the "Last Month Best Month" method remains fully invested in the "S" fund. The March gain was 2.06%, and for the year to date, we're at 7.99%.

    LMBM Method stays in "S" for another month.

    good luck.


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  23. #228

    Join Date
    Apr 2005
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    Default Re: Last Month's Best Fund Method Strategy

    Well, well, well.

    April turned out pretty good. We were up 2.94% for the month in the S fund. Last Month's Best Fund strategy continues to do well.

    However, there was a different fund that performed better.

    Which means, according to the Last Month Best Month method, it's time to shift our money.


    Attachment 11002


    Since the best fund for the month of April was the International fund (Up 6.03% for April) , we'll put in an IFT request on the LMBM Method for Monday, to move the balance into the I fund for May. Yes, it's chasing today, but that's what the LMBM method does- it sees each month which fund did best the month before, and it goes to that fund the next trading day after the month's close.

    So it's IFT Monday to "I" fund.

    Good luck.

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