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Thread: Jobs Report Contest - Oct 2017

  1. #1

    Thumbs up Jobs Report Contest - Oct 2017

    I had abandoned the jobs report contest a while back because participation was falling, but also the jobs report was not the market mover it once had been, hence to lack of participation, I think. Let's see if we can get any interest...


    On Friday, November 3 we get the
    October
    jobs report. Make your predictions
    on the number of jobs gained / lost in the month (and the unemployment rate)...

    You can't pick a number already taken and each guess must be rounded to 1000's. (ex: +201,000, -14,000, +195,000, +176,000, -5,000, etc. - no 100's)

    There's a travel mug up for grabs for the closest pick.



    If the winner also guesses the unemployment number correctly, they can upgrade to the stainless mug if they'd like (so predict both)!



    We'll take predictions until 8:15 AM ET Friday morning, Nov 3.


    Thanks, and good luck!

    Briefing.com's consensus estimates are looking for a gain of 300,000 jobs and an unemployment rate of and 4.3%.
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor. Do your own due diligence.


  2.  
  3. #2

    Join Date
    Oct 2010
    Location
    Aiea, Hawaii
    Posts
    1,122

    Default re: Jobs Report Contest - Oct 2017

    +360K
    4.2%

    Go Dodgers!
    There are 10 types of people in the world. Those who know binary, and those that don't!!
    Retired on December 31, 2018!!

  4.  
  5. #3

    Join Date
    Jun 2004
    Location
    Boiled Peanut, Georgia, USA
    Posts
    65,349

    Default re: Jobs Report Contest - Oct 2017

    +365K
    4.3%
    05/07/2021
    LS CRUDE Oil
    =$64.90 a Barrel, Daily Status +$.19

  6.  
  7. #4

    Default re: Jobs Report Contest - Oct 2017

    +130K

    4.2%
    CURRENTLY 50% G and 50% F (as of COB 04/07/2021) 1st April IFT

  8.  
  9. #5

    Join Date
    Feb 2007
    Location
    San Diego, CA
    Posts
    6,988

    Default re: Jobs Report Contest - Oct 2017

    +300K
    4.3%
    THIS IS WHERE I WOULD PUT SOMETHING TO REPRESENT MY THINKING, BUT THEN THEY SHOW UP!
    Tracker =
    Check my position

  10.  
  11. #6

    Default re: Jobs Report Contest - Oct 2017

    275,000 and 4.2%
    Please don't take my comments as trading advice /IFTs: 4-20-21=100%G/4-19-21=G85%-i15%/ 4-9-21=60C, 30I-10G/ www.theepochtimes.com

  12.  
  13. #7

    Default re: Jobs Report Contest - Oct 2017

    +220,000 & 4.2%

  14.  
  15. #8

    Default Re: Jobs Report Contest - Oct 2017

    6 entries? Looks like this will be the last jobs contest.
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor. Do your own due diligence.

  16.  
  17. #9

    Default Re: Jobs Report Contest - Oct 2017

    +290K 4.4%

    Sent from my SM-J320P using Tapatalk


  18.  
  19. #10

    Default Re: Jobs Report Contest - Oct 2017

    Quote Originally Posted by tsptalk View Post
    6 entries? Looks like this will be the last jobs contest.
    Seems that in the past several years, many were more motivated in undercutting the jobs report...and so far this year, those same folks have been disappointed by the actual jobs reports undercutting them (lol).

    This years net jobs are lower than the past 4 years....including last month being the worst in nearly 8 years (storm in Houston notwithstanding). Seems to have zapped enthusiasm here.
    Last edited by FireWeatherMet; 11-03-2017 at 12:44 AM.
    CURRENTLY 50% G and 50% F (as of COB 04/07/2021) 1st April IFT

  20.  
  21. #11

    Default Re: Jobs Report Contest - Oct 2017

    Actual: +261,000, 4.1%

    https://www.usatoday.com/story/money...nes/827666001/

    Winner ... DreamboatAnnie

    Quote Originally Posted by DreamboatAnnie View Post
    275,000 and 4.2%
    Nice job!


    Please PM or email me your shipping info!


    Thank you for playing, everyone!
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor. Do your own due diligence.

  22.  
  23. #12

    Join Date
    Apr 2005
    Posts
    14,227
    Blog Entries
    12

    Default Re: Jobs Report Contest - Oct 2017

    Sorry- I would have guessed if I had seen this sooner.

    Now- here is a question for you-

    That number is a little better than I was thinking- particularly because of the multiple hurricanes.

    Why is the market reacting with "Meh", to a healthy jobs report like that?

    As of this writing, the S&P 500 is down .06% this morning. What gives?

  24.  
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