+360K
4.2%
Go Dodgers!
I had abandoned the jobs report contest a while back because participation was falling, but also the jobs report was not the market mover it once had been, hence to lack of participation, I think. Let's see if we can get any interest...
On Friday, November 3 we get the October jobs report. Make your predictions on the number of jobs gained / lost in the month (and the unemployment rate)...
You can't pick a number already taken and each guess must be rounded to 1000's. (ex: +201,000, -14,000, +195,000, +176,000, -5,000, etc. - no 100's)
There's a travel mug up for grabs for the closest pick.
If the winner also guesses the unemployment number correctly, they can upgrade to the stainless mug if they'd like (so predict both)!
We'll take predictions until 8:15 AM ET Friday morning, Nov 3.
Thanks, and good luck!
Briefing.com's consensus estimates are looking for a gain of 300,000 jobs and an unemployment rate of and 4.3%.
Tom
Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |
I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.
+360K
4.2%
Go Dodgers!
There are 10 types of people in the world. Those who know binary, and those that don't!!
Retired on December 31, 2018!!
+365K
4.3%
+130K
4.2%
CURRENTLY 50% C and 50% S (as of COB 04/18/2024) 2nd April IFT
+300K
4.3%
THIS IS WHERE I WOULD PUT SOMETHING TO REPRESENT MY THINKING, BUT THEN THEY SHOW UP!
Tracker = Check my position
275,000 and 4.2%
Don't take my comments as trading advice /IFT: 4-1-24=100G/https://www.theepochtimes.com/ & http://www.ewg.org/PermaCharts@p430#5159/strategy#4918p.410
+220,000 & 4.2%
6 entries? Looks like this will be the last jobs contest.
Tom
Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |
I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.
+290K 4.4%
Sent from my SM-J320P using Tapatalk
Seems that in the past several years, many were more motivated in undercutting the jobs report...and so far this year, those same folks have been disappointed by the actual jobs reports undercutting them (lol).
This years net jobs are lower than the past 4 years....including last month being the worst in nearly 8 years (storm in Houston notwithstanding). Seems to have zapped enthusiasm here.
Last edited by FireWeatherMet; 11-03-2017 at 12:44 AM.
CURRENTLY 50% C and 50% S (as of COB 04/18/2024) 2nd April IFT
Actual: +261,000, 4.1%
https://www.usatoday.com/story/money...nes/827666001/
Winner ... DreamboatAnnie
Nice job!
Please PM or email me your shipping info!
Thank you for playing, everyone!
Tom
Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |
I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.
Sorry- I would have guessed if I had seen this sooner.
Now- here is a question for you-
That number is a little better than I was thinking- particularly because of the multiple hurricanes.
Why is the market reacting with "Meh", to a healthy jobs report like that?
As of this writing, the S&P 500 is down .06% this morning. What gives?
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