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Thread: Jan '14 Jobs Report Contest

  1. #1

    Thumbs up Jan '14 Jobs Report Contest

    On Friday, February 7, we get the January jobs report. Make your predictions on the number of jobs gained / lost in the month??

    You can't pick a number already taken and each guess must be rounded to 1000's. (ex: +201,000, -14,000, +195,000, +176,000, -5,000, etc. - no 100's)


    There's a travel mug up for grabs for the closest pick.



    If the winner also guesses the unemployment number correctly, they can upgrade to the stainless mug if they'd like (so predict both)!



    We'll take predictions until 12:00 midnight ET this Thursday night, Feb 6.

    Thanks, and good luck!


    Briefing.com's consensus estimates are looking for +175,000 and 6.7%.
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.


  2.  
  3. #2

    Default Re: Jan '14 Jobs Report Contest

    181,000 7.0%
    Is today Saturday again?

  4.  
  5. #3

    Join Date
    Jan 2011
    Location
    El Paso Texas
    Posts
    11,595

    Default Re: Jan '14 Jobs Report Contest

    134,000
    Don't bias your charts. Show support and resistance. My comments and charts are not trading recommendations.

  6.  
  7. #4

    Default Re: Jan '14 Jobs Report Contest

    +165,000 6.8% using the "smoke and mirrors" method

    Real unemployment is closer to 14.9%, IMO.
    God bless the United States of America!

  8.  
  9. #5

    Default Re: Jan '14 Jobs Report Contest

    +162,000, 6.9%

  10.  
  11. #6

    Default Re: Jan '14 Jobs Report Contest

    +105K 6.5%
    Current allocation: 90-L2030 10-L2050. Trust in God and keep your powder dry. Oliver Cromwell

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  13. #7

    Default Re: Jan '14 Jobs Report Contest

    115,000 for real

  14.  
  15. #8

    Default Re: Jan '14 Jobs Report Contest

    +137,000

    6.6%, mostly due to the labor force participation rate dropping.
    CURRENT ALLOCATION: 100% I AS OF C.O.B. 5/22/2017

  16.  
  17. #9

    Join Date
    Mar 2009
    Location
    Colorado
    Posts
    1,827

    Default Re: Jan '14 Jobs Report Contest

    +157,000

    6.6%


  18.  
  19. #10

    Default Re: Jan '14 Jobs Report Contest

    +165000, unemployment at 6.4%

  20.  
  21. #11

    Default Re: Jan '14 Jobs Report Contest

    +123,000

  22.  
  23. #12

    Join Date
    May 2011
    Location
    Florida
    Posts
    1,840
    Blog Entries
    6

    Default Re: Jan '14 Jobs Report Contest

    +169,000

    6.7%

  24.  
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