View Poll Results: Do you think Facebook is overhyped?

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  • Yes

    35 83.33%
  • No

    7 16.67%
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Thread: Facebook

  1. #1

    Default Facebook

    Does anyone else think this Facebook hype is overdone? I use Facebook some but... It's no google or apple.

    It may pop initially but I bet it drops soon after. I think apple has topped as well. Google has flattened out. Is this a sign of a top in tech?
    100 G
    RSI - Relative Strength Indicator DMA - day moving average


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  3. #2

    Join Date
    Jun 2004
    Location
    Boiled Peanut, Georgia, USA
    Posts
    60,296

    Default Re: Facebook

    The only things I like about it is being able to keep in touch with family and finding old friends, the rest is nothing and I don't like the invasions of privacy.
    02/26/2020
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    $48.73 a Barrel, Daily Status -$1.17

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  5. #3

    Default Re: Facebook

    I am taking a contrarian view on this. I can't believe how many people I hear on CNBC, etc., that are negative on this IPO. I would think that their growth rate (members) has to slow down, but people spend more time on FB than any webiste (other than TSP Talk, of course ) and if there are ads and other revenue streams hitting a half a billion people a day for a couple of hours, they will make money or find a way. The negativity tells me there could be a lot of people scrambling to get in who did not want to get in on IPO.

    For the record, I am not getting in on the IPO, and I already sold my GSVC (which owns a bunch of FB shares) for a little profit. Buy the rumor sell the news kind of thing. But if FB does not fly out of the gate I will buy it. Hopefully near $30. I think it will surprise.

  6.  
  7. #4

    Join Date
    Apr 2005
    Posts
    13,855
    Blog Entries
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    Default Re: Facebook

    I heard yesterday someone on the radio saying it's priced at more than 100 times earnings. I can't for the life of me see how they are going go grow income to get it to a reasonable P/E ratio, so the chances of the price tanking after the IPO are pretty good.

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  9. #5

    Default Re: Facebook

    To add: My wife, my son, and I all have accounts. My wife who is not greatly computer literate, has her business account and a personal account. The first thing my son does when he comes home is to check his FB account. I monitor his use but I'm sure many parents don't. The point is, the number of people getting on FB is amazing, and they spend a lot of time online.

    Unlike older folks (like me) kids are not afraid to click on ads. Whether naive, or just part of their generation, they trust the internet and don't assume everything is a scam or a spybot, etc. With a couple of hundred million kids online every day, and no real product overhead, I can't see how they won't have big earnings.

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  11. #6

    Default Re: Facebook

    Quote Originally Posted by James48843 View Post
    I heard yesterday someone on the radio saying it's priced at more than 100 times earnings. I can't for the life of me see how they are going go grow income to get it to a reasonable P/E ratio, so the chances of the price tanking after the IPO are pretty good.
    That's true (100 X) but Google IPO'd at 218 times earnings, and Apple was 102 X. It's the growth potential that makes these reasonable.

    Source: Facebook boosts IPO size by 25 percent, could top $16 billion - Yahoo! News

    The IP price is $34 to $38. I'll bet we see $50 - $60 by next week, if not the first day - although the crappy market hurts its prospects. If it's available in the $30's tomorrow, I'll jump in.

  12.  
  13. #7

    Join Date
    Feb 2011
    Location
    Philly
    Posts
    390

    Default Re: Facebook

    I thought I read online today that 58% of users have never clicked on an ad and that 80 something percent had only clicked on an ad once. You would think they should only get paid if the ad is clicked and not just on the page.

    Quote Originally Posted by tsptalk View Post
    To add: My wife, my son, and I all have accounts. My wife who is not greatly computer literate, has her business account and a personal account. The first thing my son does when he comes home is to check his FB account. I monitor his use but I'm sure many parents don't. The point is, the number of people getting on FB is amazing, and they spend a lot of time online.

    Unlike older folks (like me) kids are not afraid to click on ads. Whether naive, or just part of their generation, they trust the internet and don't assume everything is a scam or a spybot, etc. With a couple of hundred million kids online every day, and no real product overhead, I can't see how they won't have big earnings.

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  15. #8

    Default Re: Facebook

    Quote Originally Posted by pmcint01 View Post
    I thought I read online today that 58% of users have never clicked on an ad and that 80 something percent had only clicked on an ad once. You would think they should only get paid if the ad is clicked and not just on the page.
    That's probably right, but I'll bet that 80 or 90% of reader here don't click on ads.

    They do offer ads per click, but they may also do it by spce - not sure. I know they do it like Google's Adwords, where the advertisers give a daily budget and they will post those ads until that budget gets it. I tried it a while back and they will hit your budget - whether you want it to or not.

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  17. #9

    Join Date
    Feb 2007
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    6,949

    Default Re: Facebook

    THE GLOBE

    This little gem from 1998 brings back memories.

    Now mind you, I was in the private sector at this time and held 145,000 shares of my company's stock as an I.T. Director. (listed originally @ 11)

    This thing made my mouth water. 600% in a day (900 peak)? I would be retired by now.

    Anyway, The Globe was actually FACEBOOK of the Nineties. But it's management used it as an investment tool rather than a social media platform.

    But remember~~ AOL, MySpace, Compuserve.......FB just needs to stay fresh enough to keep people interested.

    Enough said. That companywhere I worked? You can buy the URL for $9.95 at godaddy!
    THIS IS WHERE I WOULD PUT SOMETHING TO REPRESENT MY THINKING, BUT THEN THEY SHOW UP!
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  19. #10

    Default Re: Facebook

    Quote Originally Posted by Frixxxx View Post
    That companywhere I worked? You can buy the URL for $9.95 at godaddy!
    That's funny.

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  21. #11

    Join Date
    Apr 2005
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    Default Re: Facebook

    FACEBOOK starts trading at 11:00 a.m. this morning, under the stock symbol FB.

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  23. #12

    Default Re: Facebook

    Remember Myspace?......in 2 yrs it will be something else. I mean FB doesn't make a product, google at least now makes products. I just dont see it, I just think it is a great story about a young man who made it big, yeah facebook is neat, but i personally dont do it because of privacy issues. Which brings me to my next point, that survey that came out showed a majority of people dont trust facebook with their info either, and that could potentially be a problem as well down the road......alas, we shall see....
    Just a lil o'l fishegg floatin around in this big ocean!

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