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Thread: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

  1. #1321

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    Default Re: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

    Is SILJ leading or lagging the SPX? We shall know soon....

    Bottom Line: I'm flat SILJ, reduced stock positions, and hedged remaining positions with PSQ. I will be watching UUP and HYG for tells.
    https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=HY...81&a=836201126

    Looking to buy SILJ again.... Note the ebb and flow of SILJ candlesticks and the SPX purple thick line. One is probably going to converge on the other soon.
    Attached Images Attached Images
    Last edited by robo; 11-21-2020 at 09:12 AM.
    “There is only one side to the stock market; and it is not the bull side or the bear side, but the right side” Jesse L. Livermore

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  3. #1322

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    Default Re: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

    WEEKEND GOLD FORECAST NOVEMBER 22, 2020
    Posted on November 22, 2020 by admin

    Gold prices are rolling over, and I see the potential for a bearish breakdown as soon as next week.

    If gold breaks below $1850 sooner than later, that could open the door for an extended correction into December.

    Overall, precious metals are in structural bull markets, and sharp pullbacks are considered long-term buying opportunities.

    https://goldpredict.com/archives/26937
    “There is only one side to the stock market; and it is not the bull side or the bear side, but the right side” Jesse L. Livermore

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  5. #1323

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    Default Re: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

    We shall see....

    Why Wall Street's "Most Accurate Analyst" Expects Another Market Correction Before Year-End
    Profile picture for user Tyler Durden
    by Tyler Durden
    Sun, 11/22/2020 - 14:30

    However, at the same time, he also cautions that in the near term he sees the risk of yet another drawdown in stocks, which would be the third 10% correction since September. This will be catalyzed by the market's realization of the "bad news" that "the vaccine won’t be ready for mass distribution for another 3-4 months as case counts and deaths increase." Still, once this small correction is in the rearview mirror, which perhaps may even trigger additional Fed easing during the Dec FOMC meeting when the Fed is expected to extend the maturity of its TSY purchases, Wilson remains "a steadfast bull on a 12-month view in terms of both the earnings outlook and the market."

    Bottom line, as we look forward to a more normal year in 2021, we expect US equities to remain firmly in a bull market. In the near term, stocks are elevated and may have to contemplate a second wave in the absence of a fiscal deal and before the vaccines can be widely distributed. The real opportunity next year for investors is likely to take place below the surface in smaller-cap stocks that have greater sensitivity to what is likely to be a very strong economic recovery. Along these same lines, financials, consumer services, materials, industrials and cyclical technology stocks should do best.

    https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/wh...ction-year-end
    “There is only one side to the stock market; and it is not the bull side or the bear side, but the right side” Jesse L. Livermore


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  7. #1324

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    Default Re: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

    Is the SPX/SPY topping or just consolidating? We shall know in the days ahead.

    Bottom Line: The trend remains up...
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    “There is only one side to the stock market; and it is not the bull side or the bear side, but the right side” Jesse L. Livermore

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  9. #1325

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    Default Re: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

    Amazing move for IWM on the monthly chart. The thick red line is the M1.....
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    “There is only one side to the stock market; and it is not the bull side or the bear side, but the right side” Jesse L. Livermore

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  11. #1326

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    Default Re: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

    VXF = The S fund. It is extremely stretched above the mean (The 200 dma)

    Happy Thanksgiving! Times are tough for many this year.
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    “There is only one side to the stock market; and it is not the bull side or the bear side, but the right side” Jesse L. Livermore

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  13. #1327

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    Default Re: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

    From that ZH post, most accurate analyst:

    it is very difficult to envision how the broader stock market can rise if the handful of "hedge fund VIP" names, which just happen to be the largest companies in the world in which everyone is invested, are aggressively sold off in the coming quarters after leading the market to all time highs for the past decade.
    Yeah, I agree. Everyone talking Santa Rally again like people are going to be bum rushing the doors of their local Target or Wal-Mart. Big money is already 100%+ invested, RE: NAAIM.

    Insider selling has been through the roof since early November.

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  15. #1328

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    Default Re: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

    The trend remains up, but not a time to be 100% long in my opinion.

    Sven Henrich
    @NorthmanTrader
    ·
    Nov 25
    Over 75% of US money supply has been created in just the 12 years since 2008.
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    “There is only one side to the stock market; and it is not the bull side or the bear side, but the right side” Jesse L. Livermore

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  17. #1329

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    Default Re: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

    Even At The Peak Of The Dotcom Mania Stock Market Sentiment Was Not As Euphoric As It Is Today

    jessefelder
    November 24, 2020

    It was almost a year ago that I highlighted the fact that Rydex traders were getting very bullish again. To be clear, I’m referring to the Rydex Ratio, “or the measure of Rydex traders’ assets in bear funds and money market funds relative to their assets in bull funds and sector funds.” As of last week, this ratio fell to its lowest level on record. In other words, these traders are now positioned more aggressively bullish than ever before, including the heady days of the dotcom mania 20 years ago.

    https://thefelderreport.com/2020/11/...s-it-is-today/

    Bottom Line: The trend remains up!
    “There is only one side to the stock market; and it is not the bull side or the bear side, but the right side” Jesse L. Livermore

  18.  
  19. #1330

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    Default Re: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

    No surprise here.... Harry dent is Bearish!

    Harry Dent: Stocks to crash 40% by April and won't rebound for decades, here's why (Pt. 1/2)
    202,340 views•Nov 25, 2020

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f6Xo...ature=emb_logo
    “There is only one side to the stock market; and it is not the bull side or the bear side, but the right side” Jesse L. Livermore

  20.  
  21. #1331

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    Default Re: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

    Sven Henrich
    @NorthmanTrader
    ·
    5h
    Pedal to the metal.
    Quote Tweet
    Joumanna Bercetche Flag of Lebanon
    @CNBCJou
    · 7h
    Wow , strong like bull:
    - largest 3 week inflow EVER into global stocks (surpassing Jan 18)
    - largest inflow EVER into EM debt & equity
    - 2nd largest inflow into value stocks (after Dec 19)
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    “There is only one side to the stock market; and it is not the bull side or the bear side, but the right side” Jesse L. Livermore

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  23. #1332

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    Default Re: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

    $VIX Weekly: Filling the gap
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    “There is only one side to the stock market; and it is not the bull side or the bear side, but the right side” Jesse L. Livermore


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