Thread: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

EQX daily: I'm still holding shares..... A real Bloodbath last week......

VIX daily: Above average odds for a ST bounce..... Waiting on a confirmed DCL.....and NO WHIPSAW after it's confirmed. This market remains tough to trade..... The dollar move down should help a bounce get started..... We shall see if Friday's move can continue higher, and we have a DCL. SPY needs to get back above its 10 dma.

This Signal Took Its Sweet Time to Get Here
Jeff Clark | Jan 31, 2022 | Market Minute | 2 min read
We finally got our first VIX buy signal of the year.

We knew it was coming… The Volatility Index (VIX) closed above its upper Bollinger Band almost two weeks ago. All it needed to do was close back inside the bands, and it would generate a broad stock market buy signal.

It sure took its sweet time getting here…

But we got the buy signal after the stock market closed last Thursday – just in time for Friday’s bounce. And it looks like this buy signal has a lot farther to run.

Let’s take a look at the updated VIX chart, along with its Bollinger Bands…
https://www.jeffclarktrader.com/mark...e-to-get-here/


VIX daily chart:

SPY daily chart:

SPY weekly: A possible ICL could be close..... I trade the daily data not the weekly, but ICL's with a confirmed signal can move up for 18 to 25 weeks on average.

UUP/USD daily: For now the trend remains UP...... We shall see how it plays out in the days ahead.


Gold update: False breakout in the dollar?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xKwzNqd5qek
https://blog.smartmoneytrackerpremium.com/

VXF daily: Above the 3 ema and the 10 sma is a good start. We shall see how we close..... Looks like a possible DCL and a new daily buy signal.

SPY daily: C fund same as above

VTI daily : Combo of the C and S funds.....over 4500 stocks.... Best in my opinion for LT positions.

Cycle's Video: DCL? I DO NOT trade based on his work, but I respect his cycle work.

Risk or Risk On
January 31, 2022/in NewPublic /by Bob Loukas
https://thefinancialtap.com/2022/01/risk-or-risk-on/

SPY daily: I trade the daily cycles.....

SPY weekly:

SPY monthly:

VIX buy signal: up 100% of the times...
JPM Equity strategy: "VIX produced a buy signal last week. Post the signal, 100% of the time SPX was up over the next 1 and 6 months, outside recessions".

https://themarketear.com/

VIX buy signal: up 100% of the times...
JPM Equity strategy: "VIX produced a buy signal last week. Post the signal, 100% of the time SPX was up over the next 1 and 6 months, outside recessions".

Fib videos:

I sometimes track the Fib's after a huge sell-off, but I DO NOT use them for placing trades. Waiting to see how this Fib retracement plays out. Will this move back up be a Right or Left Translated daily cycle?

Cycle Translation

Right & Left Translated Cycle

A cycle is defined by the lowest points of a price series centered around a cycle peak
https://lmtoolbox.wordpress.com/cycle-translation/


Trading Tip #6: How To Use The Fibonacci Retracement Tool
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LznyjkxqrDc&t=59s

FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT [For Beginners] - The ULTIMATE Beginner's Guide

Fibonacci Tracking: Tagging the 50 = I DO NOT USE this tool for trading, but track the levels as we move back up or down based on the cycle tops and bottoms. We can't rule out that this daily cycle could left traslate.

Trading Tip #6: How To Use The Fibonacci Retracement Tool

https://lmtoolbox.wordpress.com/cycle-translation/


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LznyjkxqrDc&t=59s

FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT [For Beginners] - The ULTIMATE Beginner's Guide
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xHiqgY85GuU

Smoke’em If You Got Them
Posted on January 31, 2022

We discussed on Thursday that stocks need to close above both the 200 day MA nd the 10 day MA to signal a new daily cycle. On Friday they came close, but no cigar.

Stocks closed convincingly above the converging 10 day MA and 200 day MA on Monday to confirm the new daily cycle. Looks like its is time to …

https://likesmoneycycletrading.wordpress.com/