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Thread: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

  1. #2617

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    Default Re: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

    I don't trade IWM, but I do trade VXF. We shall see how much lower the RSI can go on the daily chart without a ST bounce.


    Who's dead - Russell RSI is dead baby
    Russell can't catch a bid (still) but it is approaching huge support levels. Range lows are still somewhat lower, but take a look at the RSI. Russell has not been this oversold since the march 2020 panic...
    https://themarketear.com/
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    Last edited by robo; 12-02-2021 at 01:29 AM.
    “There is only one side to the stock market; and it is not the bull side or the bear side, but the right side” Jesse L. Livermore

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  3. #2618

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    Default Re: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

    LOD
    Haven't seen one of those aggressive close prints in a while. SPX crashed below the 50 day and is down to the longer term trend line. 4500 is the line in sand, must hold, make or break level to watch.
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    “There is only one side to the stock market; and it is not the bull side or the bear side, but the right side” Jesse L. Livermore

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  5. #2619

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    Default Re: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

    This Small-Cap correction is one of the fastest in history
    Small-Caps' failed breakout

    Earlier this month, the small-cap Russell 2000 broke out of a long consolidation. When it's done that before, it had a strong tendency to keep going. While short-term returns were modestly positive, the index showed a positive return 2 months later 16 out of 18 times.

    After its latest attempt, it promptly failed. And failed hard.

    Within only a few weeks of trading at an all-time high, the Russell is already back into correction territory. This is its first drawdown of more than 10% (rounded) in more than a year. This is the Russell 2000's 4th-fastest correction in its history.

    https://www.sentimentrader.com/blog/...b2a-1271291994
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    “There is only one side to the stock market; and it is not the bull side or the bear side, but the right side” Jesse L. Livermore


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  7. #2620

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    Default Re: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

    We shall see!

    I remain long VXF for a trade. This will be day 11 that VXF has been trending below the 3 ema on the daily. It's close to a 12% smack down so far.

    SPX - 4500 is huge
    SPX futs are bouncing overnight, currently trading right on the 50 day moving average. 4500 is the huge "must hold" support. Let's see how this "erratic" market plays out from here, but SPX has not been this oversold in a long time. Is this just a reset before the next leg higher, or is something bigger developing?
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    “There is only one side to the stock market; and it is not the bull side or the bear side, but the right side” Jesse L. Livermore

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  9. #2621

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    Default Re: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

    SLV daily: Time to buy again?
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    “There is only one side to the stock market; and it is not the bull side or the bear side, but the right side” Jesse L. Livermore

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  11. #2622

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    Default Re: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

    GDX daily: Close to tagging the $30ish level again. The trend remains down. I will be buying back shares of SLV and GDX for a trade only.

    https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=GD...1&a=1027437746

    Morris: Second chart. We hit his target so we shall see how it plays out.
    Nov 26, 2021 Gold Stocks: It's Almost Time To Buy Morris Hubbartt 321gold ...inc ...s
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    Last edited by robo; 12-02-2021 at 09:38 AM.
    “There is only one side to the stock market; and it is not the bull side or the bear side, but the right side” Jesse L. Livermore

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  13. #2623

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    Default Re: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

    I bought some shares of SLV and GDX with the gap down at the open for a ST trade. We could still move much lower so I will be using stops on these two.

    The trend remains down for both.....

    GDX 2 hour chart below:

    Daily:

    https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=GD...1&a=1027437746
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    “There is only one side to the stock market; and it is not the bull side or the bear side, but the right side” Jesse L. Livermore

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  15. #2624

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    Default Re: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

    GDX daily: Buying shares round $30.00ish again for a trade. The last time GDX tagged $30.00ish we went down to $28.83ish..... I bought then and I'm trying it again. This is a trade only and not an investment. We shall see how this plays out.

    Long - VXF, SLV, GDX and NUGT and adding.....

    Good trading!
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    Last edited by robo; 12-02-2021 at 02:02 PM.
    “There is only one side to the stock market; and it is not the bull side or the bear side, but the right side” Jesse L. Livermore

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  17. #2625

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    Default Re: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

    LOL..... OK! Getting ready for another meltup.....

    America’s biggest pension fund CalPERS votes to reshuffle allocations, add leverage, in bid to combat low returns

    America’s largest public pension plan that serves California state and local workers is going to make riskier investments.

    On Monday, the board of the California Public Employees’ Retirement System, or CalPERS, voted to make changes to its portfolio in the face of what are expected to be lower returns in future years, even as it also decided to keep constant its expected rate of return.

    https://www.marketwatch.com/story/am...ns-11637256386
    Earlier coverage: With lower returns on the horizon, public pensions will turn to riskier assets, Moody’s says

    Public pension systems take in contributions from governmental employers and employees, and invest their portfolios in ways that aim to maximize returns, while also protecting the existing assets. That is always a tricky balance to strike, but after a blockbuster few years, most public pension systems are bracing for what many assume can only be an era of lower returns in the future.

    “The portfolio we’ve selected incorporates a diverse mix of assets to help us achieve our investment return target,” CalPERS said in a statement. “By adding 5% leverage over time, we’ll better diversify the fund to protect against the impact of a serious drawdown during economic downturns.”

    The fund has long had extensive allocations to alternative assets — on its website, it calls itself “one of the largest private-equity investors in the world” — but has never added leverage to its portfolio. An allocation to private debt is also new.
    “There is only one side to the stock market; and it is not the bull side or the bear side, but the right side” Jesse L. Livermore

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  19. #2626

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    Default Re: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

    SPY daily: Can it hold above the 50 day sma?

    Stock Recover The 50 Day MA

    Stocks broke below the September breakout level on Wednesday to close below the 50 day MA. Stocks then broke lower on Thursday to print a bullish reversal. Thursday was day 42, placing stocks in their timing band for a DCL. Technically stocks still need to form a swing low. However, recovery of the September breakout level and the rising 50 day MA signals a new daily cycle.
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    “There is only one side to the stock market; and it is not the bull side or the bear side, but the right side” Jesse L. Livermore

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  21. #2627

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    Default Re: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

    VXF daily: A mover lower then the 177.44 marker. We shall see how we close....

    Long GDX, NUGT, and VXF..... My VXF trade remains a loser and I added a few more shares with the gap down this morning.
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    Last edited by robo; 12-03-2021 at 01:05 PM.
    “There is only one side to the stock market; and it is not the bull side or the bear side, but the right side” Jesse L. Livermore

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  23. #2628

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    Default Re: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

    SPY COT: Inline with what happened this week!

    VXF daily:
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    Last edited by robo; 12-03-2021 at 07:36 PM.
    “There is only one side to the stock market; and it is not the bull side or the bear side, but the right side” Jesse L. Livermore


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