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Thread: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

  1. #2293

    Default Re: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

    A classic bearish day when just about everything is down but bonds and gold. The good old days when things made sense.
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor. Do your own due diligence.

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  3. #2294

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    Default Re: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

    "A classic bearish day when just about everything is down but bonds and gold. The good old days when things made sense."

    Now we have to wait and see when to BTD! It looks like some did today when we tagged the 100 dma....... A nice bounce after the tag. I'm going to wait and see how the next few days plays out first.
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    “There is only one side to the stock market; and it is not the bull side or the bear side, but the right side” Jesse L. Livermore

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  5. #2295

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    Default Re: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

    I will be buying VTI when I get my next buy signal. SSO in my trading accounts....
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    “There is only one side to the stock market; and it is not the bull side or the bear side, but the right side” Jesse L. Livermore


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  7. #2296

    Question Fraud

    I am shocked, shocked, that fraud took place in China.

    evergrande.PNG

    swaps.jpg

    It looks like it would take six months to repeat 2008 (a couple large drops would be needed to turn the 200 DMA down).

    spy.png

    margin.png

    SPY, GLD and GDX are oversold. UUP is overbought.

    charts.png

    $NYMO reaching a good point for a turn. Now it's up to the Fed. Will they intervene after selling their personal stocks?

    nymo.png

    I added more GDX and SILJ today. Save me JPow, you're my only hope!

    jpow.jpg
    Last edited by redbrian; 09-20-2021 at 06:34 PM.

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  9. #2297

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    Default Re: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

    VTI weekly chart: So that's it? We shall see......

    Intermediate Cycle Low

    Stocks broke below the previous daily cycle low on Monday. Breaking below the previous daily cycle low forms a failed daily cycle and confirms the intermediate cycle decline.
    Stocks are on week 29 for the intermediate cycle. This places them very deep in their timing band for an intermediate cycle low. The odds are very good that once a daily cycle low forms, that it will also mark the intermediate cycle low as well.

    Stocks are currently in a weekly uptrend and are already in the process of forming a bullish weekly reversal. If stocks form a weekly swing low above the lower weekly cycle band then they will remain in their weekly uptrend and trigger a weekly cycle band buy signal.

    https://likesmoneycycletrading.wordp...e-cycle-low-3/
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    “There is only one side to the stock market; and it is not the bull side or the bear side, but the right side” Jesse L. Livermore

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  11. #2298

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    Default Re: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

    GDX weekly: Week 15 below the 10 wma. It be in the blue zone so it's possible we could bounce for a few weeks.
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    Last edited by robo; 09-20-2021 at 07:16 PM.
    “There is only one side to the stock market; and it is not the bull side or the bear side, but the right side” Jesse L. Livermore

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  13. #2299

    Question Bubble


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  15. #2300

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    Default Re: Bubble

    The Bullish/Bearish guessers chart: The current numbers are close to the March 2020 top. I'm not saying it will be a repeat, but those that reference this data should know the numbers are currently about the same as they were during the last 40% correction.

    Bottom Line: These numbers can't be used alone to defend a Bullish position in my opinion. One must be using other tools along with these numbers. As you can see that in March of 2020 these numbers DID NOT turn out to be market positive. We had a 40% correction. However, the Fed did start its massive printing program and low rates. Are they about to reduce it some? We shall see how the cycle data, and a few other indicators plays out, and what the Fed has planned in the next few months.

    For the record: I have posted this chart before and is one one my Sentiment tracking charts.

    https://ycharts.com/indicators/us_in...timent_bearish
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    Last edited by robo; 09-21-2021 at 09:46 AM.
    “There is only one side to the stock market; and it is not the bull side or the bear side, but the right side” Jesse L. Livermore

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  17. #2301

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    Default Re: Bubble

    Watching to see how the very oversold bounce plays out....
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    “There is only one side to the stock market; and it is not the bull side or the bear side, but the right side” Jesse L. Livermore

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  19. #2302

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    Default Re: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

    SLV/GDX/NUGT: Up some on my SLV/GDX/NUGT ST trading positions. It could still go either way, but I remain long for now. However, these are small trading positions right now. If we were to get a confirmed breakout I would add. Trying to pick bottoms can be tough, but these are only trades based my trading data.
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    Last edited by robo; 09-21-2021 at 12:10 PM.
    “There is only one side to the stock market; and it is not the bull side or the bear side, but the right side” Jesse L. Livermore

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  21. #2303

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    Default Re: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

    VTI daily: Well, buyers came in and were able to move VTI up enough to tag the lower BB. Still lots of works to do to get back above the 10 dma.
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    “There is only one side to the stock market; and it is not the bull side or the bear side, but the right side” Jesse L. Livermore

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  23. #2304

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    Default Re: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

    If this was the bounce it sure was a bearish one

    Spoos down today again. The 100 day moving average is some 20 handles lower, but the huge line in sand/psychological level to watch is the big 4300 mark.

    Market must find some support soon, or this risks becoming really nasty. Big players have not adjusted risk as the liquidity of this market everybody was so fond off only last week, makes it impossible to reshuffle big risks in an efficient way when things start shaking.
    https://themarketear.com/
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    “There is only one side to the stock market; and it is not the bull side or the bear side, but the right side” Jesse L. Livermore


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