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Thread: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

  1. #2197

    Lightbulb Re: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

    I have the first usable version of my new charting program working - stock price download, simple moving average, graphing, scrolling, multiple time periods and save screen.

    save.jpg

    Slap that like button if you think I should keep working on it...

    slap.jpg

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  3. #2198

    Post Re: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

    I tried to duplicate those charts that show a correlation between the Dow and Fed assets. The best I could do was a match in the 2000's and 2019. If it reconnects again then stocks have more melting up to do (or the Fed tapers hard and fast which is unlikely).

    assets.jpg

    Cycle chart. Stock DCL due soon. I hope the dollar bounces off of the 200 because the DCL is a month away. Gold hugging the 200 with a trend line at 1900.

    $cycles$.jpg

    Stock sentiment and deviation are high. TLT is neutral. Sentiment is getting low on UUP.

    Markets.jpg

    Daily/weekly charts. SPY overbought. UUP oversold on daily. GLD, GDX and SIL overbought on daily.

    stocks.jpg
    gdx.jpg

    P.S. Who do I talk to fix Insert Image so it stays on the last source used. It is getting old switching back to From Computer every time I attach an image.

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  5. #2199

    Default Re: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

    On the Upside: Ending the week above $33.00 would be bullish. However, stiff resistance lies just ahead at $34.25 and then again near $37.00. Sustained upside may prove difficult without a significant increase in investment demand. I think as confidence wanes, gold should begin to respond positively.

    On the Downside: Closing below today’s $32.50 gap anytime next week would be bearish and could trigger additional downside.

    https://goldpredict.com/archives/31448

    gdx.jpg

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  7. #2200

    Join Date
    Mar 2005
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    Default Re: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

    $HUI weekly: Remains under the 10 wma, but is trying to move above.....
    $XAU weekly: Same as above.....

    Bottom Line: Waiting on the weekly buy signals.....

    Morris and Jack:


    Morris

    Sep 3, 2021 Gold Stocks: Bull Flags & The Jobs Report Morris Hubbartt 321gold ...inc ...s

    Jack

    Major support for $HUI now.

    Summary

    Long term – on major SELL signal.

    Short term – on buy signals.

    Gold sector cycle is down.

    $$$ We closed out all of our positions with good profits, and now waiting for new set ups.

    https://www.gold-eagle.com/authors/jack-chan
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    “There is only one side to the stock market; and it is not the bull side or the bear side, but the right side” Jesse L. Livermore

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  9. #2201

    Question Re: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

    Looks bad but doesn't seem to matter to markets unless they were both low.

    surprise.jpg

    Last edited by redbrian; 09-05-2021 at 09:35 AM.

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  11. #2202

    Join Date
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    Posts
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    Default Re: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

    Hmmmm......
    https://themarketear.com/
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    “There is only one side to the stock market; and it is not the bull side or the bear side, but the right side” Jesse L. Livermore

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  13. #2203

    Join Date
    Mar 2005
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    Posts
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    Default Re: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

    The market just doesn't care..... Well, for now that is!
    4th Booster. New mutants...
    Some recent relevant COVID headlines:

    1. Virus czar calls to begin readying for eventual 4th vaccine dose (The Times of Israel)

    2. New COVID variant detected in South Africa, most mutated variant so far (J-Post)

    3. A number of mutations suggest that the Mu variant could resist immune defenses and possibly even have a faster transmission than other variants (WHO)
    https://themarketear.com/
    “There is only one side to the stock market; and it is not the bull side or the bear side, but the right side” Jesse L. Livermore

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  15. #2204

    Join Date
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    Posts
    3,432

    Default Re: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

    LOL..... Trade with the money flow..... We want more JUICE!

    Depressed economic surprises need more "juice"?
    Citi's US economic surprise index "can't catch a bid", despite Fed's continued printing.

    Will this gap ever shrink?

    https://themarketear.com/
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    “There is only one side to the stock market; and it is not the bull side or the bear side, but the right side” Jesse L. Livermore

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  17. #2205

    Join Date
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    Default Re: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

    Hmmmmm....

    Risk Windows for the Labor Day Week
    Started by Douglas , Yesterday, 04:48 AM
    https://www.traders-talk.com/mb2/ind...abor-day-week/
    “There is only one side to the stock market; and it is not the bull side or the bear side, but the right side” Jesse L. Livermore


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  19. #2206

    Angry Re: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

    Stephen uses too much click bait but he thinks that a large Chinese company is going bankrupt, the CCP won’t bail them out and their junk bond default will scare everyone.


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  21. #2207

    Join Date
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    Default Re: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

    STBD if this even matters.

    Macro Conditions Are Plunging
    Jason Goepfert

    Published: 2021-09-07 at 0700 CDT
    The fundamental outlook is deteriorating. We've seen that in a drumbeat of reports that have disappointed economists in recent weeks.

    The SentimenTrader Macro Index Model is designed to track the ebb and flow of an economic expansion. To differentiate "temporary slowdowns" from real problems, we look for SIGNIFICANT macro deterioration. Our Macro Index combines 11 diverse economic indicators to determine the state of the U.S. economy right now.

    New Home Sales
    Housing Starts
    Building Permits
    Initial Claims
    Continued Claims
    Heavy Truck Sales
    10 year - 3-month Treasury yield curve
    S&P 500 vs. its 10-month moving average
    ISM manufacturing PMI
    Margin debt
    Year-over-year headline inflation
    At the end of August, Jay notes that the Macro Index Model dropped from .64 to 0.46.
    https://www.sentimentrader.com/blog/...24b-1271291994
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    “There is only one side to the stock market; and it is not the bull side or the bear side, but the right side” Jesse L. Livermore

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  23. #2208

    Join Date
    Mar 2005
    Location
    Texas, USA
    Posts
    3,432

    Default Re: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

    $XAU weekly: It has remained under the 10 wma for 12 weeks. Waiting on "MY" next weekly buy signal..... Others have already bought. I'm still ST trading the miners using the daily signals. The weekly signals are for MT trades and can last for months..... I be like a grasshopper in this sector. I have lost plenty buying to much, to early, and using leverage.

    GDX: Trending down and under the 10 wma
    GDXJ: "" "" ""
    $HUI:
    SILJ:

    Bottom Line: I be waiting for "MY" next weekly buy signal and it does look like the weekly cycle low is in. However, I like to wait as see a confirmed trend happening above the 10 wma.

    Risk Management!
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    “There is only one side to the stock market; and it is not the bull side or the bear side, but the right side” Jesse L. Livermore

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