Thread: Market Talk

Mike wrote:

Price is important if you are looking at it from the perspective of "cheaper fund = more shares = greater return".

If everything goes up 5 cents per share, you make the biggest gain if you hold the cheapest fund (of course, it's rather unusual for all the funds to behave in the same fashion, even if you are just comparing G&F or C, S, & I).

I think it is apples and oranges. Things move up in percentages. If Ebay ($92 a share) and Oracle ($11 a share) each wentup $1 today, Oracle would have hada big day and Ebay only a fair day. It's easier for EBAY to move $1. I'm not sure I'm explaining this well but basically things move in percentages and higher prices stocks (and funds) move more money-wise than lower priced ones.

So,if the C fund, for example, was $11 and the S fund was $15, it doesn't mean the C fundis a better value.

Mike wrote:

Price is important if you are looking at it from the perspective of "cheaper fund = more shares = greater return".

If everything goes up 5 cents per share, you make the biggest gain if you hold the cheapest fund (of course, it's rather unusual for all the funds to behave in the same fashion, even if you are just comparing G&F or C, S, & I).

?

Well. Closing the books on September, it looked like (not a bad, not a good, but lets say) a fair month. TSP accounts were positive, some very little. September gains indicated (with no losses):

G = .04 F = .02 C = .10 S = .40 I =.24

I know that a number of members are reallocating funds for a hopeful October (myself included). The moving averages (MA), the parabolic SAR (in several funds (but not all)), and the sentiment indicates a entry! So I wish all the best, and the green. :^ (It's only money) so be careful out there (and have a exit strategy/alternate airport, guess incase)!

According to the stats the S fund is currently above the moving average of 20 days and the Parabolic SAR has returned a entry indicator. The I fund is currently above the moving average of 20 days but the P-SAR has not returned a entry indicator. Reason: it had a lower dip in Sept and still has a little to make up for. A similiar international fund by Fidelity has been showing entry for the last 8 days.

I wanted to post this Friday afternoon so that everone in stocks can have a little peace over the weekend (and a good thing for your fingernails)!

PS: And, I also copied Toms Seasonality chart for October, for sentiment.

The first day of October was nice...

C Fund up 0.18

S Fund up 0.20

I fund up 0.18

:^

Well, I guess my first time move from the "G-Fund" wasn't too bad for the first day... I went 50/50 into C/S.

BTW, love the website! I was just introduced to it Weds by a guy at work. Only been investing in TSP for 4 months, but I didn't know anything about the different funds til now. Thanks!

Welcome buggin! Glad to have you. Let us know if you have any questions.

Tom

Buggin wrote:

Well, I guess my first time move from the "G-Fund" wasn't too bad for the first day... I went 50/50 into C/S.

BTW, love the website! I was just introduced to it Weds by a guy at work. Only been investing in TSP for 4 months, but I didn't know anything about the different funds til now. Thanks!

Welcome Buggin

NIce move for the first time :^

GTO

Tom,

I agree with you...

But which fund will perfomed better and why ?

any seasonality charts about the performance of the diferent funds?

I do know that interest rate raise will slow small caps
more that large caps i the past... and there are chart
of the ratio... but at what point and how reliables they are...

the S and I had performed better... the S due to the low interest rate and the I due to the low US dollar index...

Is it any other basic parameters to consider that you know ?

Please advise us...

Thanks,

Leon

I look the percent increase on the partivular fund...

not the cents... :-)

Wlcome Bugging... I am relative new also... and I love this website...

Leon