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Thread: Jack Ablin says brace for at least 15 pct. drop

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    Default Jack Ablin says brace for at least 15 pct. drop

    Investors should brace for stocks to drop at least 15% in early 2020, money manager Jack Ablin says

    Cresset Capital’s Jack Ablin is telling investors to brace for stocks to drop at least 15% in early 2020.

    “Valuations are pretty stretched,” the firm’s chief investment officer told CNBC’s “Trading Nation” on Thursday. “We had [a] 30% move this year on 3% earnings Growth.”
    https://www.cnbc.com/2019/12/27/stoc...ack-ablin.html
    Tom
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    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor. Do your own due diligence.


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  3. #2

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    Default Re: Jack Ablin says brace for at least 15 pct. drop

    Totally agree. It’s been a great year, but nothing indicates it can continue. The Fed is pouring liquidity in like gasoline on a fire, but there isn’t any reason to. Interest rates are too low to use for an emergency rate cut in the future if things fall apart. I’m thinking a good whack down is coming in the very near future. 10% for sure, maybe 15% or more. We shall see.


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    Default Re: Jack Ablin says brace for at least 15 pct. drop

    And this is the chart that gets my attention the most.

    IMG_5848.JPG

    Gray areas are the recessions. We are more than due, by all these indicators.


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    Default Jack Ablin says brace for at least 15 pct. drop

    IMG_5846.JPG
    That’s the last year or so. The dip is when the interest rates flipped. The only thing missing now, is the recession. It’s coming in the next month or two. Watch!

    IMG_5845.JPG
    Gray areas are the recent recessions.
    We are due.

    Thanks Tom for linking those graphs. Scares the pants off me. Especially now, that I am so close to retirement. Time for me (age 59 1/2) to preserve capital.

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