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Thread: To Be (in) or Not To Be (In)

  1. #1

    Join Date
    Jan 2006
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    Default To Be (in) or Not To Be (In)

    I've heard Burro, DBA, EXN, and WS and decided to be a contrarian this month and stay in (partial exposure) for the month.

    Reasons to Stay In: RSI is ok, MACD is ok, Personal income, new jobs, job openings, hourly salary, and unemployment are ok to good, sentiment is good, vix is ok, interest rates are ok, Asian markets seems to be moderating a bit as do European markets. The news today about Iran deal may be bring some positive stability even if it reduces oil profits in the short term, Hopefully earnings will be OK and not spook the markets. BUT the biggest reason: Birchtree is still in. It's great that you can always count on a few things in life

    Reasons to Get Out: FEAR -The crazy swings caused by the China and Greece headlines. Puerto Rico (?) Cramer's retracement warning a month ago.

    I actually expect some down days this week but hope to catch a some upswings and buy the dips. Will retrench later this month and figure out. I think we will have a correction...just no idea if it's this month or in the fall.

    Attachment 34488

    FS
    FogSailing
    Try to learn something about everything and everything about something.


  2.  
  3. #2

    Default Re: To Be (in) or Not To Be (In)

    The big problem with getting out now for me is I'd be locked out for the rest of the month. Maybe that's not a good reason to stay in but with our IFT limitations I'v had to make many such unwise decisions with my TSP account. My whole approach would change if I only had two Entry IFTs a month or even if I could carry unused IFTs forward to the next month.
    Allocations as of COB Dec 28 : 100% S. | Retirement Date:Dec 2025
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    2020 31.85%,2019 27.97%,2018 -3.36%,2017 13.10%, 2016 -1.79%, 5Yr Avg 12.61%

  4.  
  5. #3

    Default Re: To Be (in) or Not To Be (In)

    C, S, and I have made big up moves this week. I think I missed my chance at a quick 1% gain and will stay in the G for now. Maybe when FatMan or Pjstuff go back in the market I will follow them.

  6.  
  7. #4

    Join Date
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    Default Re: To Be (in) or Not To Be (In)

    I hear you Cactus. If management of the TSP Holding Company actually listened to it's customers (big laugh there), we'd have a better set of options available to us. All the best to you in tour investing.

    FS
    FogSailing
    Try to learn something about everything and everything about something.

  8.  
  9. #5

    Default Re: To Be (in) or Not To Be (In)

    [QUOTE=FogSailing;505657]I've heard Burro, DBA, EXN, and WS and decided to be a contrarian this month and stay in (partial exposure) for the month.

    Reasons to Stay In: RSI is ok, MACD is ok, Personal income, new jobs, job openings, hourly salary, and unemployment are ok to good, sentiment is good, vix is ok, interest rates are ok, Asian markets seems to be moderating a bit as do European markets. The news today about Iran deal may be bring some positive stability even if it reduces oil profits in the short term, Hopefully earnings will be OK and not spook the markets. BUT the biggest reason: Birchtree is still in. It's great that you can always count on a few things in life

    Reasons to Get Out: FEAR -The crazy swings caused by the China and Greece headlines. Puerto Rico (?) Cramer's retracement warning a month ago.

    I actually expect some down days this week but hope to catch a some upswings and buy the dips. Will retrench later this month and figure out. I think we will have a correction...just no idea if it's this month or in the fall.

    Attachment 34488

    FS[/QUOTE

    Totally reasonable decision IMHO. Hope you have a 'green' July!

    Wish the market wasn't so 'headline driven'. But hey, you play the cards you're dealt.
    Speaking of which did everyone know that the Main Event of the World Series of poker
    is going on right now? 26 players left out of a field of more than 6000.
    Go Daniel Negreanu!

    http://www.wsop.com/

  10.  
  11. #6

    Join Date
    Nov 2012
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    Default Re: To Be (in) or Not To Be (In)

    Short term Timers heading for the exit? When there is no fear, be fearful. *rimshot*

    Bear market may wait for equities to extend gains - MarketWatch
    "Welcome back my friends to the show that never ends...

  12.  
  13. #7

    Join Date
    Jan 2015
    Location
    Bethesda, Maryland
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    220

    Default Re: To Be (in) or Not To Be (In)

    I'm staying in.... be dammed!
    Practice makes perfect, so practice I do.

  14.  
  15. #8

    Join Date
    Nov 2012
    Location
    Minneapolis
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    361

    Default Re: To Be (in) or Not To Be (In)

    "Welcome back my friends to the show that never ends...

  16.  
  17. #9

    Join Date
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    Phoenix, AZ
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    Default Re: To Be (in) or Not To Be (In)

    Attachment 34500

    Here we go!

    FS
    FogSailing
    Try to learn something about everything and everything about something.


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