Thread: From all G to S today

I'm already in! We better start heading back up.

Originally Posted by kb9nvh

Since I got busy with work and missed the last shoulder I'm all in G. I pulled out making great money on the head. Is today my next missed opportunity?
I'm thinking about 50% S today?

Who's with me!!! haha

I'm seriously thinking on it. If you look at last years negative beginning in the market, you will see that Tuesday rallied about 5/8-3/4 percent. While that may not be a lot, it fits into the shaky beginnings this year. I just don't know if it will be on a Tuesday or Wednesday of this week if past performance pattern has any barring on this week. I do believe a good day is coming. Still deciding...Tuesday or Wednesday. However, what I do know is that Performance Summary Chart on the Latest Commentary Page shows negative for Tues and Wed I believe. I actually use this chart as a contrarian chart since during volatile trading..this is usually off. I do find the S&P 500 Seasonality Chart on the Latest Commentary page to be okay...and therefore it shows 50 percent chance of the market being positive...good enough to risk an early in...Wednesday actually looks good and the rest of the week looks good. So, a move for me is coming. Today or Tomorrow.

Did you look at the stats on my blog?

Calling a BOTTOM? That takes some Chutzpah!

From JTH's blog stats...Looks like an average neutral with excessive risk. Is this what you have as a take away for the first entire quarter? Looks like get in today and out wed at best?

Good luck to all you gamblers out there today.

Originally Posted by kb9nvh

From JTH's blog stats...Looks like an average neutral with excessive risk. Is this what you have as a take away for the first entire quarter? Looks like get in today and out wed at best?

In the general sense, there are alwasy more up days than down days, but the up days are smaller than the down days, therefore the negative average gains (over the long-term) are alwasy greater than the postive average gains. Keeping in mind, the markets genneraly close up 54% of the time.

COB today 25%C, 25%S, 50%F Let us pray...

Good luck. Fortune favors the brave!

Originally Posted by JTH

In the general sense, there are alwasy more up days than down days, but the up days are smaller than the down days, therefore the negative average gains (over the long-term) are alwasy greater than the postive average gains. Keeping in mind, the markets genneraly close up 54% of the time.

slot machines are required to give back 80% of the time.

Painful painful paybacks until its all gone....

Originally Posted by Valkyrie

slot machines are required to give back 80% of the time.