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Thread: Bulls and Bears

  1. #13

    Join Date
    Apr 2004
    Location
    , , Germany
    Posts
    22

    Post imported post

    I have a couple questions:

    1) Yesterday the dollar was strong again but the I Fund went up. I was expecting it to go down? What am I missing?

    2) I wondering about waiting things out in the G Fund (where I am 60%). I know eventually the market will take a down turn. But will it really be enough to justify sitting out for so long? I mean, say the market goes up by 50 points but down only 10 during the correction. You would have missed out on 40 points. How do you know when it's best to wait it outand when tojump in?

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  3. #14

    Join Date
    Mar 2004
    Location
    Rosebud, South Dakota, USA
    Posts
    8

    Post imported post

    I'm 20S, 20C and 60G today. The gains were good over the weekend, but today I'm a deer in the headlights as I see the numbers declining. I missed the deadlline yesterday to hide back in the G fund. Do any of you more experienced (and braver) investors have advice. Do I stay where I am, possibly take a loss on my shares and go to G for tomorrow a.m. or actually increase my stocks in wild speculation???

    Thanks Tom, I should have copied all your strategies and waited in the G fund too.

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  5. #15

    Join Date
    Mar 2004
    Location
    Memphis, Tennessee, USA
    Posts
    648

    Post imported post

    Anything new before the cut off? Other opinions?
    Clan motto: Thrives under the sun and in the shade.

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  7. #16

    Post imported post

    Nothing new for me today.

    highplains -
    With 60% in G, you are in good position especially if you've gotten some of those gains over the past week or so. We are due for a pullback butyou are better offerring on the side of being too bullish rather than too bearish for the next several months.
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

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  9. #17

    Join Date
    Mar 2004
    Location
    , , USA
    Posts
    65

    Post imported post

    Natx-

    I posted this elsewhere yesterday - take a look at the increasing Euro (vs the dollar) and the I fund return(efa).
    You can see, like in May 02- Mar 03, the I fund can drop even while the dollar drops. The strength of the dollar is not the main determinant of EAFE, although it is a factor.
    http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=EURU...&z=l&q=l&c=efa

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  11. #18

    Join Date
    Feb 2004
    Location
    Northwood,Ohio,USA
    Posts
    58

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    If it's not a significant factor (the value of the dollar) the TSP has some explaining to do because last week a lot of us lost money in the I fund when it appeared to end the day on a positive note !

    JerBer


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  13. #19

    Join Date
    Mar 2004
    Location
    , , USA
    Posts
    65

    Post imported post


    I'm not sure what you mean here. Are you saying the I fund went up and you somehow still lost money? ( Don't see how that's possible). Or that the dollar dropped against some currency and I fund went down (it happens all the time)..

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