Thread: AAII

Not sure of the historical context here.

Two out of Five Investors Allocate More Conservatively Based on Economic Data

This month’s Asset Allocation Survey special question asked AAII members how the prevailing economic data has affected their asset allocation decisions. Two out five respondents (40%) state that they have followed a more conservative allocation strategy as a result of the recent economic data. A majority within this group also state that they are allocating more to cash and bond holdings. This compares to 26% of respondents who say their allocation strategy has not changed as a result of any data. Many within this group state that they follow a long-term investing strategy and prefer not to be swayed by market fluctuations.

https://www.aaii.com/updates/article...economic-data?

What direction the next six months? This week's readings:

Bears = 30.6
Bulls = 30.6

Lowest bull reading since September 2020. Highest bear reading since February 2021.

Bulls = 51.40
Bears = 21.50

We haven't seen numbers like that since April 2021, but this just confirms what everyone knows - sentiment is high right now. Sentiment is not the best indicator for finding tops since big gains usually come with higher sentiment levels. After April 2021, prices kept going up for almost a year.

Originally Posted by Bullitt

Bulls = 51.40
Bears = 21.50

Originally Posted by Bullitt

Sentiment is not the best indicator for finding tops since big gains usually come with higher sentiment levels. After April 2021, prices kept going up for almost a year.

If I have some time I may do some kid of comparison between AAII bull / bear ratio and the direction of the Fed's balance sheet.

It (balance sheet) was rising substantially after COVID and now it is falling.

Originally Posted by tsptalk

If I have some time I may do some kid of comparison between AAII bull / bear ratio and the direction of the Fed's balance sheet.

It (balance sheet) was rising substantially after COVID and now it is falling.