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Daily Market Commentary

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  1. TSP Talk: New quarter, new direction?

    The intraday charts look choppy but the trading has been slow and on lighter volume recently, and in the final hour of trading we've been seeing a push in the opposite direction of the earlier trends. On Monday we saw some late selling in a more positive day of trading, and yesterday we saw late buying after a mostly negative day. The Dow gave up 38-points but most of the indices were fairly flat by the close with tech stocks lagging some again. Bonds were down as yields continue to bounce off ...
  2. TSP Talk: Failing flags?

    It was a mixed, slow day for stocks on Monday, but mostly positive with some weakness in the tech sector. The Dow gained 195-points and, with the help a bounce back in the banks due to some funding relief, the small caps finally outperformed the large caps. Bonds were down sharply as yields rallied, and the dollar was down helping the I-fund to a strong day.

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  3. TSP Talk: A quiet run on the banks?

    The news out there has been rough for markets yet the indices have remained buoyant. On a typical Friday with bank failure announcements being a major concern, I would not expect a lot of buying before the weekend, but that's exactly what happened after stocks opened lower. The Dow closed near the high of the day with a 132-point gain. Bonds were up and the I-fund was a victim of the late US rally and some adjusting of Thursday's elevated price.

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  4. TSP Talk: Fed hangover brings extreme choppy action

    Someone flipped a switch at about 11 AM ET yesterday, stopping a strong morning rally and pushing the indices down, and into the red before bouncing back a little in the final hour of trading. The Dow gained 75-points and the Nasdaq was up 1%, but they all closed off their highs, and the small caps continue to lag, posting a modest loss on the day. We've see some very positive action in the tech heavy Nasdaq, but there are a few charts that are on the brink, looking over a precipice.
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  5. TSP Talk: Very volatile trading after Fed rate hike / policy statement

    It was one of the more volatile reactions to a Fed meeting that we've seen in a while, and that's saying a lot since they are almost always market movers. Up 200-points at the highs, and closing down over 500-points at the lows, it was a wild day for the Dow and the other indices. Those highs and lows both came after the Fed raised rates by a quarter point, but it was actually a statement by Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen that may have turned the markets sharply lower.

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