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Daily Market Commentary

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  1. TSP Talk: Choppy day below resistance

    Stocks posted modest gains yesterday in the big three indices as the Dow gained 52-points on a very choppy trading day on Wall Street. We saw some overhead resistance hold, but there was a clear bid for some stocks as we traded near those lows of the day. The Russell 2000 (small caps) was flat on the day but the broader Dow Completion Index (our S-fund) was down on the day.

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  2. TSP Talk: 50-day EMA holds as resistance

    Volatility is back and September's reputation remains intact as the bears took control again after a day and a half of rebounding. The Dow lost 525-points, or 1.9% while the Nasdaq and small caps lagged with losses near 3%. After a positive open, the S&P 500 hit the 50-day EMA and reversed back down, and that may be a troublesome development with yesterday being the 4th straight day that the index closed below the 50-day EMA.

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  3. TSP Talk: Dead cat bounce or is the low in?

    Stocks bounced back on Tuesday after the positive reversal day on Monday, so the action was typical, but the question of course is whether this cements in a low for this recent pullback, or if the market is just rebounding to fill in some open gaps on the chart, and / or if new overhead resistance will keep the downtrend alive. The Dow ended the day up 140-points and there was green almost across the board, and that ended a 4-day losing streak for the S&P 500.

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  4. TSP Talk: Breakdown

    Stocks gapped open lower on Monday. I often say that we can't always trust Monday morning gaps, especially the ones on the downside, but yesterday's morning's selling and lack of dip buying in that first hour of trading made the sell-off look pretty serious. The fact that the losses were still fairly stiff into the close in most indices, despite the reversal, is a tell that this was not one of those gaps to dismiss. The Dow lost 510-points, well off the lows like so many indices, but the charts ...
  5. TSP Talk: The bears sense an opportunity. Bulls look for support

    Stocks opened sharply lower on Thursday and an initial attempt by the bulls to erase those losses fell short, then the selling resumed into the afternoon. A late rally helped push the indices off their lows, and more importantly, holding some of them above key support levels. The Transports came all the way back to break even on the day and closed right near their all time high, while tech took the biggest hit yesterday. The Dow, down 384-poins at the lows, close down 130.

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