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Daily Market Commentary

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  1. How will investors react to the undocumented "Trade Deal?"

    Stocks were slightly negative on Monday, but because of the holiday, the action was not all that meaningful, and the prices and returns will be incorporated into Tuesday's share prices. The TSP share prices and returns below are from Friday, which was a wild day with big gains for 90% of the day, but a sharp sell-the-news reaction to the trade meetings in the final minutes of trading took the indices well off their highs, but they still closed with solid gains. ...
  2. Trade continues to call the shots in this range-bound market

    Stocks rallied on Thursday despite some severe selling in the overnight futures session the night before. Trade, trade, trade. That's what these moves are all about. The Dow gained 151-points, but that was actually 100-points off the highs as once again we saw some selling at the top of the range that we have been watching.

    ...
  3. Stocks bounce back but Wed., but futures point to more downside

    Stocks rallied on Wednesday but it was whipsaw kind of day as trade dominated the headlines. The Dow ended the day up a healthy 182-points, but a late push lower on news that China has lowered their expectation on a deal, took the indices off their highs of the day. We saw gains of near 1% in many of the broader markets, although small caps lagged slightly again.

    ...
  4. How long will the August playbook work in October?

    Stocks opened lower on Tuesday and pulled another reversal after a Jerome Powell speech driven midday rally failed as we headed into the close, and we had ourselves another loss greater than 1% in stocks. The Dow lost 314-points and there were no bright spots to speak of, except perhaps if the charts are telling us something, as we'll see below.

    ...
  5. Top of the range tested, and it held

    Stocks opened lower to start the week, rallied into the early afternoon, but dropped sharply into the close creating some negative reversals on the charts. The Dow lost 96-points on the day, while the broader indices also lost a third to a half of a percent. The small caps and the Transportation Indices were slight leaders, but still had small losses.

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SPY (C Fund) (delayed)

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DWCPF (S Fund) (delayed)

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EFA (I Fund) (delayed)

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AGG (F Fund) (delayed)

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