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Daily Market Commentary

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  1. TSP Talk - November window dressing or profit taking?

    More quiet action on Wednesday although there was a little more volatility after stocks open sharply higher, but faded throughout the day to close flat, but mixed. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq were down slightly but the active small caps were at it again, jumping almost 1% on the day. That was also well off the highs and we may have seen a negative reversal, but being the last trading day of a super hot November, the question today will be whether we see monthly window dressing or just some profit ...
  2. TSP Talk - Another snooze fest for stocks, while bonds rock and roll

    The strength in the bond market continues and that is pushing yields lower, giving the stock market reason to hang in there despite some overbought conditions. The major three indices were up modestly, while small caps were down but holding firmly at a key moving average. The action has actually been quite boring, and a boring stock market tends to favor the bulls, but it is vulnerable to any bad news at these lofty levels.

  3. TSP Talk - Tryptophan Monday

    After a weekend of turkey sandwiches, the stock market had a little too much tryptophan in its system, and was doing a lot of napping on Monday. Stocks were sluggish, which is about what the seasonality chart suggests happens after the bullish activity during Thanksgiving week. The Dow lost 57-points and the modest losses permeated throughout most of the broader indices as well. Yields were down giving the bonds and the F-fund a nice bounce back day.

  4. TSP Talk - Whose story is more compelling?

    The holiday action has favored the bulls, despite some weakness in the Nasdaq. It did take a last minute rally to push the S&P 500 out of negative territory during Friday's shortened trading day, but the Dow had a solid triple digit gain and the more aggressive S and I funds had very strong days. Bonds were hit hard as yields moved up and may have broke resistance, and the dollar moved down again helping that I-fund lead the way on Friday.

  5. TSP Talk - Quick holiday update

    The Wednesday before Thanksgiving saw a typical seasonally bullish day as stocks rallied heading into the holiday. The Dow gained 185-points with gains near 0.5% in the three major indices, while the back and forth of the small small caps saw them leading again. Bonds were up slightly as yields dipped a bit.

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