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TSP Talk Blog

This and that about the market, the TSP, maybe some politics, and life.

  1. TSP Talk: Stocks mixed, although mostly higher despite a midday stumble

    Stocks opened lower on Tuesday, rallied, faded, came back, and by the close it was a mixed bag but mostly positive outside of tech. The Dow gained 240-points, with a lot of that having to do with a rally in Wal-Mart. Bonds were down slightly, the dollar was flat, and oil was down. After the bell President Biden signed the Inflation Reduction Act which impacts corporate taxes, among other things, but that's just old news getting finalized.

  2. TSP Talk: Bulls fight off the bears and turn early losses into a gain

    Stocks opened sharply lower on Monday morning but the dip buyers were at the ready and the fight that the bears put up early, turned into a retreat as the bulls won the battle. The Dow gained 151-points and it was a pretty good showing for the bulls considering that the dollar had a big day and actually broke above its recent down trend. That sent commodity prices lower, including the price of oil. Bonds were up as yields slid lower. The Transportation Index was down yesterday.

  3. TSP Talk: Bulls take charge as bears get nervous

    Stocks took Thursday's bearish negative reversal day - and on some charts a negative outside reversal day - even more bearish, and completely ignored that setup and rallied strongly to close at a multi-month high on Friday. The Dow gained an impressive 424-points, and the S&P 500 is now down less than 10%, which means it has cut its worst 2022 losses in half. The question is, will a 50% retracement of the losses pose any threat to the rally being a common Fibonacci retracement level? The ...
  4. TSP Talk: Stocks rally after PPI report, then fade

    Another better than expected inflation report (PPI) sent stocks flying higher at the open, but by the end of the first hour of trading we started to see the tape weaken and while over all the broader market actually had a good day, the major indices were mostly flat to lower. Bonds were down as yields and oil rallied, and that may be a problem for the market rally.

  5. TSP Talk: Stocks rally on CPI report - PPI today

    The CPI report came in with a year over year gain of 8.5%. That is a big inflationary number, but the market was looking for 8.7%. Not a big difference but since the prior month's report was 9.1%, it gave investors a reason to believe that inflation may be peaking. Stocks soared on the news as the Dow gained 535-points and many indices saw 2% to 3% gains on the day. This morning we'll get the PPI report so the question is whether that will be benign enough for the market to hold onto yesterday's ...
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