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TSP Talk Blog

This and that about the market, the TSP, maybe some politics, and life.

  1. Volatility has been the story after 5 big triple digit moves for the Dow last week

    Friday put a big punctuation mark on a wild week for Wall Street with a 300+ point rally. It was the 4th day of 300 or more point moves for the Dow, and the one day it was only up 100-points, on Thursday, there was a 300 point intraday swing from low to high. It was a week that saw the first, albeit brief, 2/10 year Treasury yield curve inversion in many years. The more economically sensitive small caps and Transports led on the upside with gains near 2%, while the big ...
  2. The bulls hold off the bears for a day

    Although the final numbers may not indicate it, it was another wild day on Wall Street on Thursday. The bulls did have a small victory with the Dow gaining 100-points on the day, but by comparison, it certainly did not getting back much of the 800-points it had lost on Wednesday. The broader indices performed even less impressively with the S&P gaining just 0.25% while small caps and the Nasdaq closed slightly in the red.

    ...
  3. Yield curve inversion nerves

    The wild swings continue after yesterday's 800-point drubbing in the Dow, reversing and doubling the loss of Monday's 400-point gain. They're blaming a brief inversion of the 2 / 10 year bond yields yesterday morning, but if you've been reading our commentary, it's hard to believe that anyone was surprised by that happening. It has been getting dangerously close for a while.

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  4. Another day, another headline driven market

    Down 767-points on 8/05, up 312 on 8/06, up 371 on 8/08, down 391 on Monday, and the latest turnaround Tuesday pushed the Dow up 373 yesterday. Are we having fun yet? Have you got it all figured out? Easy, right? Welcome to the headline driven market, which seems crazy, but if you pull back a bit, there is a picture being drawn.

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  5. Technical resistance holding. Support breaking.

    Stocks opened the new week with more losses and the dip buyers didn't show up this time. The Dow lost 391-points with 1% plus losses across the board in the major indices. Trade, Hong Kong, and some economic downgrades from the likes of Morgan Stanley, who predicted that interest rates will be going to 0% again. That not a lot of faith in the economy.

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