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TSP Talk Blog

This and that about the market, the TSP, maybe some politics, and life.

  1. May Jobs Report: +2.5 million, 13.2 pct Unemployment

    May sees biggest jobs increase ever of 2.5 million as economy starts to recover from coronavirus

    Employment stunningly rose by 2.5 million in May and the jobless rate declined to 13.3% according to data Friday from the Labor Department that was far better than economists had been expecting and indicated that an economic turnaround could be close at hand.

    Economists surveyed by Dow Jones had been expecting payrolls to drop by 8.333 million and the unemployment rate to rise
  2. TSP Talk: Are you ready for an historic jobs report?

    Stocks were mixed on Thursday and a very late rally took the Dow (+12-points) back into positive territory. The S&P 500, small caps, and the Nasdaq were down modestly, while the Transports rocketed higher on a second straight big rally in the airline stocks. Yields rallied for a second straight day after that surprise ADP employment number on Wednesday, adding pressure to the bond market, which was down relatively sharply.

  3. TSP Talk: Has despondency cycled all the way back to euphoria?

    Stocks rallied again as the move off the March lows gets even more frothy than it has been. Today's action may be attributed a much better than expected ADP employment report which saw 2.76 million people losing their jobs in May - a prelude to Friday's non-farm payroll jobs report. The reason for the rally is that expectations were looking for 9 million or more to be added to that list, so it was a much better number than anticipated. The Dow jumped 527-points,and we're feeling some euphoria ...
  4. TSP Talk: Chase or patience during this relentless rally?

    Stocks rallied on Tuesday as the the market rally isn't missing a beat despite the economic challenges and civil unrest going on around us. Most of those gains in the broader indices came in the final 30 minutes of trading yesterday after one Federal Reserve economist said getting the U.S. economy back to strong growth could require negative interest rates. The Dow gained 268-points as the mostly flat day turned into near 1% gain in many indices after that late rally.

  5. TSP Talk - The market shrugs off the black swans

    The stock index futures were down very sharply overnight on Sunday night / Monday morning - twice, and both times the losses were recovered. The S&P 500 futures were down about 50-points at the lows, or about 500 Dow points, and by the opening bell we saw just a single digit loss for the S&P, and about 40-points on the Dow, but that was it. The dip buyers showed up and the indices were fairly steady throughout the day, and the Dow closed up 92-points. Trading volume was particularly ...
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