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TSP Talk Blog

This and that about the market, the TSP, maybe some politics, and life.

  1. Slow day with G-20 and trade meeting upcoming

    Stocks opened modestly higher on what turned out to be a slow Monday, as we head into this week's G-20 and scheduled trade meetings. The early gains faded and the indices closed mostly lower although the Dow ended with a small gain of 8-points. Small caps and the Transports continue to get hit hard, and so far only the Dow and S&P have made new highs, so the broader market is lagging.

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  2. Breakout or double top this week?

    The S&P 500 hit fresh new highs on Friday morning, but the early rally stalled and the indices drifted lower into the close. The Dow ended the day down 34-points, and while the losses were minimal, the technical action was more of a concern. The new high didn't quite hold so we head into the new week with the question of whether we see a breakout, or a possible a failure at the top of the large trading range that the S&P 500 has been in since early 2018.

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  3. Flying high with the Fed

    Stocks rallied sharply on the heels of the FOMC meeting where the market is celebrating the potential rate cuts next month. The Dow gained 249-points, or 0.97%. Smalls caps lagged a bit but still added 0.60%. The S&P 500 made a new all-time closing high while the yield on the 10-year Treasury hit a multi-year low - briefly breaking below 2% yesterday.

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  4. No rate cut, stocks up moderately

    Stocks tip-toed tentatively into the FOMC policy statement on Wednesday, and despite no rate cut, we saw a bit of a relief with some modest buying in the post announcement trading. The Dow gained 38-points or 0.15%, while the S&P, Nasdaq, and the small caps saw moderately larger gains. The Fed did not cut rates but clearly left the door open for one at their next meeting at the end of July.

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  5. After trade optimism rally, we get the Fed decision today

    Stocks rallied Tuesday on trade optimism and dovish talk out of the ECB. The Dow jumped 353-point, or 1.35%. The S&P 500 and small caps added about 1% each on the day. There was some tentative selling toward the close, but that is not a surprise heading into today's FOMC rate decision. But on whole, it was another Turnaround Tuesday after a week of churning.

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