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TSP Talk Blog

This and that about the market, the TSP, maybe some politics, and life.

  1. TSP Talk: The rally resumes

    Despite Powell reiterating the Fed's hawkish persistence in raising rates as needed, stocks resumed their rebound on Tuesday. The Dow jumped 431-points or 1.3% and, the broader the index, the bigger the gains were. The questions is, how long can the bear market rally party last? Bond yields were up / bond prices down, and the dollar tumbled helping prices everywhere, although the price of oil did pull back.

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  2. TSP Talk: Not much follow through, but bears didn't press either

    The bulls made a midday push to tack onto Friday's rally, but instead we saw come consolidation of those gains either because of some "profit taking", or just a the typical sell the rally mentality in a bear market. There are not many profits to be had out there but the S&P 500 had moved up about 5% from Thursday's low to Friday's high, so that a decent move. A modest 16-point decline in the S&P following a 93-point gain isn't very meaningful, but it does give us an idea how ...
  3. TSP Talk: A bounce on Friday, plus TSP is shutting down soon

    We had a rare sighting of a bull in this bear market on Friday. It is remains bull hunting season so we could see them go into hiding again unless the bears need to take a break to gather more ammunition and supplies for the next next attempt to catch a horned wall hanger. OK, I'm not a hunter so the terminology may not be correct, but you get the point. After Friday's big rally, the bulls may have some fun for a couple of days, but the bears may be back for another go round at pushing the indices ...
  4. TSP Talk: A late rally saves the day

    We had some steep losses heading into the final hour of trading on Thursday but stocks bounced late to salvage a mixed and somewhat flat day, and unfortunately for the bulls, that's been about as good as it has been for them lately. The Dow lost 104-points after being down more than 600 at the lows. The Nasdaq squeezed into positive territory while the beleaguered small caps actually had a good day gaining 1.4%, but that is barely noticeable on the beaten down S-fund chart. Bonds rallied and ...
  5. TSP Talk: Another failed rally as CPI came inline with estimates

    Stocks gave up some early gains as the bearish activity continues with more selling after an initial bounce off the CPI report. The Dow gave up a triple digit gain to close down 327-points with Apple's 5% loss being a drag on most of the major indices. Bonds were up as the yield on the 10-yer Treasury fell back below 3%. Oil and the metals were up, while bitcoin continues to slide lower.

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