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TSP Talk Blog

This and that about the market, the TSP, maybe some politics, and life.

  1. TSP Talk: Upside follow thru, but after hours trouble

    Stocks reversed a big intraday loss on Friday to close flat. That reversal action rolled over into Monday and we saw big gains across the board. This time it was the large caps that outperformed, and the bigger the better as the Dow gained 2%, the S&P was close behind at +1.89%, then the Nasdaq picking up 1.6%, and then the small caps which added about 1%. The I-fund also had a good day with the dollar falling sharply. Bonds were down as yields ticked higher.

  2. TSP Talk: Can positive seasonality week trump the bear?

    For the second week in a row the Dow and S&P 500 ended Friday with a gain, and that hasn't happened very often in 2022. The gains were minimal and it took a major afternoon positive reversal to get there. Only the S-fund closed in the red as far as the TSP funds go, with the I-fund leading on the upside. Bonds were up nicely as well as they show some signs of trying to break their downtrend. The F and I funds were also the two funds that closed with a gain for the week, with the C-fund lagging ...
  3. TSP Talk: Short term oversold market gets choppy

    The bears were running out of steam after Wednesday's nasty sell off, but the bulls still couldn't put together a rally in the three major indices. They did try as we saw the indices chop above and below the flat line all day on Thursday, but by the close the buying dried up. Internally there was some strength brewing as the small caps put together a relief rally, as did the I-fund with the dollar tumbling. Bonds were up as yields slipped.

  4. TSP Talk: The rally runs out of steam

    Well, we had a relief rally but it turned out to be one of the shorter versions, and "they" came in on Wednesday and took away all of the gains from that rally, and the S&P 500 closed at its lowest level of the year. Boy, are they good at doing that. Mom and pop were probably just getting brave enough to jump back in with the recent rally, and their money is evaporating again. The Dow lost nearly 1200 points and there was carnage across the board for the stock indices. Bonds and ...
  5. TSP Talk: The rally resumes

    Despite Powell reiterating the Fed's hawkish persistence in raising rates as needed, stocks resumed their rebound on Tuesday. The Dow jumped 431-points or 1.3% and, the broader the index, the bigger the gains were. The questions is, how long can the bear market rally party last? Bond yields were up / bond prices down, and the dollar tumbled helping prices everywhere, although the price of oil did pull back.

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