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TSP Talk Blog

This and that about the market, the TSP, maybe some politics, and life.

  1. TSP Talk Market Commentary 04/07/2020

    As we have seen for weeks now, a bear market gives us the most explosive rallies. You rarely see a 3, 5, or 7% rally in a trending bull market. So what did the action tell us? It tells us that we are still in a bear market. Does it mean we are exiting the bear? It's way too early to say, and it shouldn't be that easy. The Dow gained 1627-points or 7.73% as investors became more optimistic about the trend of the coronavirus stats.

  2. TSP Talk Market Commentary 04/06/2020

    The much weaker than expected jobs report (-701,000) took its toll on stocks on Friday and the Dow, which actually went positive in early trading, drifted lower for most of the day and closed down 361-points despite a late move higher. Small caps lagged, bonds were up, and oil had another big day after the agreed upon cut in production.

  3. March Jobs Report -701,000

    US payrolls drop 701,000 in March, the first jobs decline since 2010

    Nonfarm payrolls dropped by 701,000 in March, according to Labor Department numbers released Friday that begin to show the economic damage wrought by the coronavirus crisis.

    It was the first decline in payrolls since September 2010.

    The unemployment rate rose to 4.4% as employers just began to cut payrolls ahead of social distancing practices that shut down large swaths of the U.S. economy
  4. TSP Talk Market Commentary 04/03/2020

    Volatility remains high as Thursday's impressive rally regained about about half of Wednesday's bigger losses. We're in a period where 2% moves are minor in comparison to what we've seen, but at least the 9% to 12% moves have backed off. The Dow gained 470-points and a dramatic rally in oil was a major catalyst.

  5. TSP Talk Market Commentary 04/02/2020

    ]New month, new direction as the relief rally ended with a thud. It wasn't too much of a surprise as it seems everyone has been anticipating a possible test of the lows, but it's always interesting to see the switch from bullish behavior to bearish in such a short amount of time. The Dow lost 974-points yesterday, or 4.44%, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq losing about the same percentage. The Transports, financials, and small caps lagged with 5% to 6% losses.

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