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TSP Talk Blog

This and that about the market, the TSP, maybe some politics, and life.

  1. TSP Talk - Mixed action in stocks as yields dip

    Thursday saw a stealth rally in stocks as small caps and the broader indices rallied on a pullback in bond yields and the dollar. However, the big three major large cap indices were down sharply with Salesforce and the Magnificent 7 large cap tech stocks dragging down those more closely watched indices lower. The Russell 2000 small caps and the S-fund bounced back from Wednesday losses with decent gains, and market breadth was actually quite strong.

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  2. TSP Talk - Yields rallying causing stocks some trouble

    Stocks opened sharply lower On Wednesday, fought their way back in that first hour of trading in attempt to fill the gap, then chopped sideways to lower the rest of the afternoon before closing near the lows of the day. The Dow lost 411-points and that's more than 1600 points off the highs that were made just last week when everyone was celebrating it hitting 40,000. Yields and the dollar were the culprits again so both the stock and the bond funds took the hit.

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  3. TSP Talk - Mixed day to start holiday shortened week

    The post holiday action was quite mixed with the Dow down over 200-points, the Nasdaq closing at a record high, and the S&P 500 needing a last hour rally to give it a 1-point gain. This is all following last week's volatile week of trading with some negative chart implications that have yet to be voided. Yields moved sharply higher so it has now been 8 days since they found support and started rebounding.

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  4. TSP Talk - Post holiday after negative reversal and rally

    We had a little bit of everything last week. It was a post-options expiration week, and a pre-holiday week. Trading was whippy with relatively low trading volume, especially on Friday where it was the lowest trading volume day of the year. Friday also happened to have a big rally that followed a negative outside reversal day. Bond yields and the dollar were down, breaking the week's trend. Now what?

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  5. TSP Talk - Nvidia did its job, but the market failed to respond

    After gapping up at the opening bell on Thursday after Nvidia's earnings beat, the market had to deal with some hot inflation data that is not normally influential, and that sent yields spiking higher and the entire day's complexion changed. The Dow lost 600-points, small caps lost 1.5%, and several of the charts created negative outside reversal days, which can be troublesome.

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