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TSP Talk Blog

This and that about the market, the TSP, maybe some politics, and life.

  1. TSP Talk: The one, two, three punch from FANG / MAGA triggers big rally

    Investors took Wednesday's reported earnings from META (aka Facebook) on top of Tuesday's reports from Microsoft and Google (aka Alphabet) and ran out of reasons to be bearish. When you run out of sellers you get rallies. Reminder that JP Morgan said 95% of its investors believed stocks would fall this year. That's not what all sentiment surveys are saying, but it suggested there was plenty of cash available to see some buying, and FANG / MAGA is giving them a reason to buy. Now, we have to ...
  2. TSP Talk: Strong tech earnings can't save broader market from sell-off

    Stocks got off to a good start on Wednesday following the strong earnings reports from Microsoft and Google, but after recovering some of Tuesday's losses, the indices flipped over. The Nasdaq did hold onto a solid gain because of those tech earnings, but the broader indices were down, particularly the Transports, for a second straight day. Yields were up (bond prices down) and the dollar was down.

  3. TSP Talk: Financials drag stocks down. Will earnings bring them back?

    Stocks sold off on Tuesday with financial stocks breaking some charts below key support levels. The Dow lost 345-points and the selling was broad as we saw 5 decliners for every advancers on the NYSE, with 7 times more declining share volume than advancing. Earnings after the bell did bring some after hours buying in, which could be a boost today, but it could remain choppy out there if the next wave of big earnings isn't as good as Tuesday's release. Hundreds of companies will be reporting this ...
  4. TSP Talk: Are the rising jobless claims a tell?

    Another quiet choppy day to start the week as we head into today's first wave of big tech earnings after the bell. The Dow gained 66-points, the S&P was up slightly, the Nasdaq and small caps were down, and the EFA / I-fund was up as the dollar seems to be on the move lower again. Bonds and the F-fund were up as yields slipped lower.

  5. TSP Talk: Too many bears to be bearish?

    It was another mixed week for the TSP funds after a comeback move by the bulls to end the week on Friday. For the week the S&P 500 was down slightly while the smalls caps of the S-fund and the International I-fund both closed slightly higher. The F-fund (bonds) were down on Friday and also slipped 0.15% for the week. The I-fund continues to lead for the year with an impressive 11.7% gain. Now we head into one of the most key earnings weeks of the quarter with many of the big tech stocks ...
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