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TSP Talk Blog

This and that about the market, the TSP, maybe some politics, and life.

  1. TSP Talk: GDP suggests recession, earnings reports look good

    Stocks were down early after the second consecutive quarter of negative GDP reading basically suggesting a recession is here, but the dip buyers didn't care as they seem to be back in the picture, and it was smooth sailing during the afternoon trading and into the close. The Dow gained 332-points and we saw 1% plus gains almost across the index board. Bonds were up (yields down), oil was down, and the dollar was mostly flat.

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  2. TSP Talk: The bullish aftermath of a 0.75 pct rate hike

    Stocks were up early on the Alphabet and Microsoft earnings, but moved into another gear higher after the Fed's new policy statement announcement on rates and the speech that followed. Getting a big move in stocks on an FOMC meeting day is not a surprise. This year having those rallies hold the day after is the tricky part. The Dow gained 436-points and it was actually lagging the broader indices which gained 2.6% to 4% depending on the index.

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  3. TSP Talk: Stocks slump on Tuesday, but bounce back after hours on earnings

    Stocks fell and the tone for the day had been set after the bell on Monday after the Wal-Mart earnings warning. The Dow lost 229-points and near the lows of the day. The Nasdaq lagged heading into some big earnings reports after the bell yesterday. Small caps and the I-fund also fell sharply. Bonds were up early but flattened a bit by the close. The dollar was strong putting pressure on commodities as oil gave up an early gain to close down almost 2%.

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  4. TSP Talk: Choppy action to start busy week

    Stocks were very choppy on Monday and traded in a fairly tight range in front of this busy week for Wall Street. The Dow managed a solid 91-point gain despite being negative with less than 30 minutes to go in the trading day, so investors and traders are jockeying for position in front of this important week which really gets started with Microsoft and Alphabet (Google) reporting after the bell today. The S&P was up slightly and the Nasdaq down modestly, while the S-fund posted a solid again, ...
  5. TSP Talk: Rally runs out of steam in front of Fed week

    Stocks opened slightly higher on Friday but failed to get any traction and the quickly bears took over, so the Tuesday thru Thursday rally was sandwiched between selling on Monday and Friday, but the final result was some decent gains for the stock funds last week. Bonds also came to life as the F-fund gained 1.2% on the week. With a week left in the month the indices still have some decent gains in July as we head into a very busy week of earnings plus a Fed meeting.

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