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TommyIV's TSP Talk Blog

Check out this blog for the TSP Talk Weekly Wrap Ups and the Sentiment Survey results.

The Weekly Wraps should be posted on Saturdays, and the Sentiment Survey results get posted by Monday morning.

  1. Back to the sidelines for some


    Stocks pulled back Monday to start off an important week for markets. The uncertainty surrounding trade and upcoming scheduled tariffs had some investors swallowing gains and moving to the sidelines. Last week's jobs report gave investors the confirmation bias they needed to have faith in the future of the economy. However it would be an uninformed gamble to buy further into stocks ahead of an FOMC meeting that won't include a rate cut as well as a tariff deadline coming Sunday with no
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  2. Jobs report gives buyers new life


    Stocks rallied on Friday and the big news was the strong jobs report. The Dow gained 337-points or 1.22%, and we saw solid gains of near 1% in many of the major indices. Not surprising, the safety type trades of bonds and gold were down as risk was certainly on Friday.
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    Updated Yesterday at 12:15 AM by TommyIV

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  3. TSP Talk Weekly Wrap Up

    Money circulated markets this week turning big moves into modest weekly net returns. Stock TSP funds were mixed this week ranging from a slight loss in the S-fund to less than a half percent gain in the C and I-funds. At a glance these returns seem a bit dull but are actually a significant win for the bulls considering the C-fund was down1.51% after Tuesday's trading. Volatility spiked this week as investors were more easily manipulated by headlines since seen in early October trading.
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  4. TSP Talk Weekly Wrap Up

    Seasonality further propelled stocks to higher highs this week but offbeat action on the short Friday strengthened the bear argument of coming weakness. Both the bulls and the bears may be hoping for some pull-back next week. Stocks are becoming overbought so a pull-back would set up entry points for optimistic bulls while confirming the bear's inclination that markets have reached their peaks. But markets can be unreasonable and chaotic. Those you have held stocks this year or even just the last ...
  5. TSP Talk Weekly Wrap Up

    Signs of trouble in trade negotiations put an end to stock's weekly streak of gains. Reports that China was not as willing as initially thought to proceed with the terms of the phase one deal sent fear throughout investors that trade progress was about to be derailed again. What was suppose to be a deal that would be complete within two months of its inception, 'phase one' is now potentially forecasted to be completed next year. You can clearly see in the weekly chart below when that made the news. ...
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SPY (C Fund) (delayed)

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DWCPF (S Fund) (delayed)

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EFA (I Fund) (delayed)

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AGG (F Fund) (delayed)

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