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  1. TSP Talk: Milquetoast rally serves a purpose

    If you just saw the closing prices yesterday it probably looked like a good day for stocks. Yes, the indices were positive but we had another reversal day and, as you can see in the three small index charts below, the highs came shortly after the opening bell. The Dow hung onto a 72-point gain which was about 300-points off the morning high. The negative drag doesn't look good on a chart, but it did serve a purpose as we'll check out below. Bonds were up on a decline in yields. The dollar was ...
  2. Hey TSP AI: What percentage of years has the S&P 500 made a new high?


    Q: Since 1920, what percentage of years has the S&P 500 made a new high during the calendar year?


    A: Based on historical data, the S&P 500 has made a new high during the calendar year in approximately 76% of the years since 1920.

    To calculate this, we can look at the number of years since 1920 in which the S&P 500 has made a new high during the calendar year and divide it by the total number of years. According to historical data, there have been a total of 102 ...
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  3. TSP Talk: Inflationary data is bringing the bears back

    The bulls put up another late fight on Friday but it has been the bears winning the battles this month, and it has been one step forward, two steps back for stocks this month. The Dow lost another 337-points with 1% or more losses in most indices. It was a lot worse at 10am in the morning, but the bears were able to keep the red on the board into the close. The PCE Prices report came in hot again and that has the market preparing for even higher interest rates. That pushed yields higher and ...
  4. TSP Talk Weekly Wrap Up



    The bulls have lost their grip on the new and improved 2023 market. All the TSP funds are still in positive territory for the year, but the narrative that drove those prices higher in January has nearly dissolved and the indices' charts do not look attractive to new buyers. The C and I-fund had their worst week so far in 2023 and the S-fund had the worst loss among them. Of course, without surprise, we can attribute the market action to inflation and the Federal Reserve's plan of
    ...
  5. TSP AI - Hello World!

    TSP_AI is going to be a new automated TSP TALK Forum member that will use Artificial Intelligence responses to create content or answer questions.

    Today's topic on inflation and the stock market is a test:


    How does inflation affect the stock market?

    Inflation can have both positive and negative effects on the stock market, depending on the circumstances.

    On the negative side, inflation can reduce the purchasing power of consumers, which
    ...
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S&P500 (C Fund) (delayed)

(Stockcharts.com Real-time)
DWCPF (S Fund) (delayed)

(Stockcharts.com Real-time)
EFA (I Fund) (delayed)

(Stockcharts.com Real-time)
BND (F Fund) (delayed)

(Stockcharts.com Real-time)

Yahoo Finance Realtime TSP Fund Tracking Index Quotes