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  1. Are You Getting Bearish?

    Yes it's a bear market. Yes it will continue to be a bear market until proven otherwise. Yes the economy is still in tough shape.

    It's easy to get locked into a particular view. Sometimes though, it can cause paralysis when things change and we don't expect it.

    Is this one of those times?

    I don't know. But as we continue to rally bearish levels often rise. And when that happens it creates an opportunity to continue the rally.

    We didn't ...
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  2. Bear market rally

    From www.tsptalk.com/comments.html

    Stocks followed through on Friday's big reversal day by tacking on 6% to 7% gains across the board. The swings continue to be wild and the light volume trading coming later this holiday week could keep volatility on the high side.


    The trouble for stocks now is that they have not had much success during this bear market after two or three big up days. The good news for stocks is that Wednesday and Thursday of this week are historically
    ...
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  3. Multi-Dimensional Feds - Flag Football to World Series of Poker

    In the media, government employees are cast like they are a different species. Living underground in caves, we speak a different language (bureaucratize), have different morals (obscurity), and generally make your life difficult.

    One of the most interesting things Iíve found working in public service is the diversity of the public service. Iím particularly interested in what people do after work.

    In my five years, Iíve met a number of interesting govies including:
    ...
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  4. No Easy Decisions

    Not a bad reversal in two trading days. It was due. Overdue.

    Even though the indicators that I watch have not been kind to me of late, sooner or later you get rewarded. Granted, I am still a little behind from my last entry point, but I wouldn't let the market scare me out of my position. Not in this volatility. I do think I have a good chance to tack on some more gains by Wednesday, but after that I'm not sure I want to stick around. I am not bullish longer term and so far this is ...

    Updated 11-24-2008 at 06:36 PM by coolhand

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  5. Seasonality, sentiment, and oversold

    The market... terrible. Economy... a mess. Sentiment... woeful. Maybe that means it's time for a little rally?

    After Wednesday and Thursday's drubbing, stocks put together a huge rally in the last hour of trading on Friday after Obama selected Timothy Geithner as the new Treasury Secretary.



    In a normal market environment, these type of Friday afternoon reversals tend to carry into Monday morning, but ...
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