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  1. TSP Talk: Getting reminded of what a bear market can do

    The whipsaw action continued on Thursday as quadruple witching expiration approaches. Big spikes higher, big declines, and everything in between, but the close is what matters, especially if you made a transaction in your TSP, and the indices closed near the lows of the day. The Dow lost 173 or 0.54%, which percentage-wise was one of the better performers of the day. The S&P and Nasdaq each lost over 1%, while the S and I funds were each down less than 1%. Bonds were down and yields closed ...
  2. TSP Talk: Modest buying after CPI sell off

    It was a very choppy day yesterday as investors were trying to figure out if they should be taking advantage of the lower prices caused by the Tuesday sell off, or hold off. The Dow gained 30-points by the end of the day but it, and the other indices, were trading all over the map yesterday, and the closing prices were just where they stopped. On a positive note the indices went from the lows of the days to close with moderate gains in the final 45 minutes, so buyers were stepping up late. Bonds ...
  3. TSP Talk: A CPI disaster

    Now that was a Turnaround Tuesday! Stocks sold off after a stronger inflationary CPI Report than expected. The Dow lost 1276-points which was the largest loss in over two years. Volume was higher than normal, but nothing extreme that would indicate a capitulation, and that probably means we need to see more pain before this bear market runs its course. Small caps outperformed slightly as the S-fund did not quite hit the -4% mark, while the S&P lost 4.3%. Bonds were down as yields and the ...
  4. TSP Talk: The rally rolls on - right into this morning's CPI report

    A Monday morning gap up in stocks set the tone for the day. We can't always trust gaps on Mondays because often it is emotional retail money chasing the prior week's action. Well, we saw some of that but it held all day long so there is another open gap below on the S&P 500 chart. The Dow gained 230-points, which was about 125-points off the highs, but we did see a strong close after some midday choppiness. The dollar was down sharply so prices everywhere were being boosted higher - metals, ...
  5. Intrepid Timer's Weekly Chart Analysis


    For the week ending 09-09-2022


    This is my analysis of the weekly charts for the S&P 500, IWM, the VIX and 10-year yields. Premium subscribers also receive a daily commentary with the daily charts and my timing system’s signals for both TSP and ETFs outside of TSP.

    Current YTD returns thru 09-09-2022:

    TSP:

    G fund: 1.75%
    F fund: ...
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EFA (I Fund) (delayed)

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BND (F Fund) (delayed)

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