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  1. TSP Talk: Resistance holds, stocks sell off

    The rubber band finally snapped on the two plus week rally in stocks to start the New Year. We saw a move higher at the opening bell following the PPI report yesterday as it, and retail sales, came in weaker than expected. That suggested that inflation is nearly in check, however it is becoming more obvious that the economy is suffering. This has been the Fed's goal with their interest rate hikes so this shouldn't be a surprise, but what is surprising is that the Fed doesn't seem to be considering ...
  2. TSP Talk: Rally stalls near resistance -- just a day of rest?

    Stocks paused on Tuesday after last week's strong rally. The Dow took a big 372-point hit on the day led by a 6% decline in Goldman Sachs, which is the second highest weighted stock in the index, and 24 of the 30 stocks were down in the index. But the broader indices held up rather well with more solid internal numbers considering the red we see on the indices. The dollar and yields were up and that helped put the pressure on stocks.

  3. TSP Talk: Is the market betting that the Fed will stop hiking?

    The market shrugged off some early selling on Friday to rally into the close again and cap off another good week for the stock market, which has gotten off to a great start in 2023. The S and I funds continue to outpace the large caps of the C-fund, and bonds took a day off from their recent rally with a moderate pullback. For the month all of the TSP funds are doing just fine as we head into earnings season. However, the big carrot on the stick that investors are watching is the next FOMC meeting ...
  4. Intrepid Timer's Weekly Chart Analysis

    For the week ending 01-13-2023

    This is my analysis of the weekly charts for the S&P 500, IWM, the VIX and 10-year yields. Premium subscribers also receive a daily commentary with the daily charts and my timing system’s signals for both TSP and ETFs outside of TSP.

    Current YTD returns thru 01-13-2023:

    G ...
  5. TSP Talk Weekly Wrap Up

    Buyers have had the advantage in the first two weeks of the new year. The lull of December has passed and January has so far held what many expected for the holiday trading. Two major economic data publications have helped fuel the January climb. Last week was the December Jobs Report, this week it was the December Consumer Price Index. Stocks were up for the week leading up to its publication on Thursday. That optimism by investors did not lead to a sell the news reaction when the
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EFA (I Fund) (delayed)

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BND (F Fund) (delayed)

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