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Stocks rallied to start the new week, following up on Friday's big gains. The Dow gained 417-points and it was the highest close since September 12 for the Dow, and the highest in the S&P 500 since September 20th. Small caps lagged and bonds were down as yields and the dollar were up, so is that a sign that we should we be selling this heavy earnings week rally?

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Stocks opened lower on Friday but the futures were already on the way up before the opening bell after an article in the Wall Street Journal came out suggesting the Fed may reconsider their rising interest rate plan. A rouse or real, we don't know, but it did stimulate the rally on Friday.

The Dow gained 749-points after being down triple digits near the open. Yields flipped over after making new highs, and the dollar reversed down as they have been joined at the hip, and that ...

For the week ending 10-21-2022

This is my analysis of the weekly charts for the S&P 500, IWM, the VIX and 10-year yields. Premium subscribers also receive a daily commentary with the daily charts and my timing system’s signals for both TSP and ETFs outside of TSP.

Current YTD returns thru 10-21-2022:

TSP:
G fund: 2.18%
F fund: -16.41%
C fund: -20.25% ...

The bulls fought back against the bear market this week, but do they have the stamina to turn the market higher long-term? We've been in a bear market for some time now but even in bear markets there are opportunities to buy. The buyers went to work early this week to start the TSP stock funds with a gains over 2% and more than 3% for the S-fund on Monday alone. There was follow through by the bulls on Tuesday but it was a battle for direction for the rest of the week up to Friday where the bulls ...

Stocks were up early on Thursday but buckled under the pressure of another rally in yields and the dollar, triggering algorithm selling. The Dow saw another modest loss of 90-points, again outperforming the broader indices, which is interesting since larger global companies tend to suffer more when the dollar is strong, as it is now. The rise in yields means bonds were down again, making new lows. The I-fund outperformed the C and S funds as it may have benefitted from the fact that the overseas ...