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  1. TSP Talk: Big jobs report confuses investors

    Stocks recovered from an early sell-off after the release of the July jobs report on Friday morning. The report saw a gain of 528,000 jobs or more than doubled the estimates, and it shook up the economic picture as the country debates whether or not the economy is in a recession. The indices closed near the highs of the day after the morning decline, but in this environment with the Fed trying to fight inflation, is a giant beat in the jobs data really what the stock market wants to see? The ...
  2. Intrepid Timer's Weekly Chart Analysis

    For the week ending 08-05-2022

    This is my analysis of the weekly charts for the S&P 500, IWM, the VIX and 10-year yields. Premium subscribers also receive a daily commentary with the daily charts and my timing system’s signals for both TSP and ETFs outside of TSP.

    Current YTD returns thru 08-05-2022:

    TSP: ETF:

    G fund: 1.41% ...
  3. TSP Talk Weekly Wrap Up

    The S&P 500 was down four of the five days this week yet that one day of gains was enough to carry the C-fund into positive territory (+0.38%) for the week. Small caps had a different week, the DWCPF was up four of the five days this week. The index was able to stay in positive territory on days large caps saw losses. The boosted the S-fund to outperform the TSP funds with a 2.38% gain for the week. Yet another different performance was the I-fund that jumped between gains and losses to ultimately ...
  4. TSP Talk: A mostly flat day in front of today's July jobs report

    Stocks were in digestion mode on Thursday after Wednesday's big rally, and the consolidation continues in this same area that we saw in early June. The Nasdaq led and posted a modest gain but the other indices were slightly lower. Bond prices were up (yields down) and the dollar was down so Tuesday's knee-jerk reaction has been reversed in both.

  5. TSP Talk: Stocks explode higher

    Stocks exploded higher on Wednesday and the headlines suggest some stronger than expected economic data, but bond yields gave up a big early gain so it didn't seem overly related to the data. It could have been some old fashioned FOMO (fear of missing out), or possibly triggered by some Fed comments, but that Fed talk didn't sound all that encouraging, so it was more of a head scratcher rally to me. The Dow gained 416-points, about 100-points off the highs as we did see some selling late into ...
S&P500 (C Fund) (delayed)

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DWCPF (S Fund) (delayed)

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EFA (I Fund) (delayed)

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BND (F Fund) (delayed)

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