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Coolhand's Market Analysis

A weekly snapshot of current TSP allocations for both the Top 50 and the Total Tracker. I also try to accompany the allocation charts with some measure of technical analysis, normally using the S&P 500.

  1. Price Continues Rising - Posted by Coolhand

    Quote Originally Posted by coolhand View Post
    The bulls began the new week in positive fashion as price continued to rise.

    TSP Rollover-s-p-500-png
    TSP Rollover-dwcpf-png

    This time, the S&P joined the party, but the DWCPF continues to dominate the action was larger gains. The problem for the S&P is that price is still stuck in a range, while the DWCPF is hitting fresh all-time highs.

    TSP Rollover-nyad-png

    Breadth is also hitting fresh all-time highs and is
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  2. Mixed Market - Posted by Coolhand

    Quote Originally Posted by coolhand View Post
    The market was mixed last week, with major averages posting gains and losses depending on the index. We are seeing what appears to be stock rotation going from larger caps to smaller caps, but that's just what I see on a superficial level. I am not looking "under the hood" so-to-speak as I like to keep my commentary fairly simple.

    Market Talk-s-p-500-png
    Market Talk-dwcpf-png

    In the loss column you have the S&P 500, which shed less than 1% last
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  3. Bulls Quickly Take Back Control - Posted by Coolhand

    Quote Originally Posted by coolhand View Post
    The bulls turned the market around today after a bout of weakness on Wednesday. Small caps continued leading large caps.

    Market Talk-s-p-500-png
    Market Talk-dwcpf-png

    We can see that price closed at another all-time high on the DWCPF, while price failed to recoup Wednesday's losses on the S&P 500. Momentum continues to rise on the DWCPF and remains flat on the S&P.

    Market Talk-nyad-png

    Cumulative breadth hit
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  4. Market Pulls Back - Posted by Coolhand

    Quote Originally Posted by coolhand View Post
    The market was doing well until about mid-day when price weakness began and then continued into close, picking up some steam on the way down. I cautioned yesterday that while I was bullish the market could pullback at any time. So we got a pullback today, but it remains to be seen if there's more downside in store in the short term.

    TSP Investing-s-p-500-png
    TSP Investing-dwcpf-png

    The S&P 500 lost more than 1% and fell back to its recent short-term
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  5. Small Caps Soar - Posted by Coolhand

    Quote Originally Posted by coolhand View Post
    The market had a mixed close today, with the S&P 500 pulling back modestly while the DWCPF tacked on more gains.

    Mike's Account Talk-s-p-500-png
    Mike's Account Talk-dwcpf-png

    Price on the S&P 500 struggled today, but still closed not far off its previous high. Price on the DWCPF hit another all-time closing high. That chart looks particularly bullish. Today's rally did push the DWCPF into overbought territory as indicated by RSI. I don't consider that to be a big
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SPY (C Fund) (delayed)

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DWCPF (S Fund) (delayed)

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EFA (I Fund) (delayed)

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BND (F Fund) (delayed)

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Yahoo Finance Realtime TSP Fund Tracking Index Quotes