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Coolhand's Market Analysis

A weekly snapshot of current TSP allocations for both the Top 50 and the Total Tracker. I also try to accompany the allocation charts with some measure of technical analysis, normally using the S&P 500.

  1. Crazy Train - Posted by Coolhand

    Quote Originally Posted by coolhand View Post
    We got another choppy day with a mixed close. Once again, small caps are leading the pack.

    Market Talk-spx-png
    Market Talk-dwcpf-png

    We got a fresh all-time closing high on the DWCPF, while the S&P was down and has been dancing sideways over the past days. Momentum is rising on the DWCPF and is hinting at falling on the S&P, but I am not anticipating a ton of downside on the S&P. Historically, when small caps are doing well it bodes well for
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  2. Choppy Day, Mixed Close - Posted by Coolhand

    Quote Originally Posted by coolhand View Post
    The market was mixed today, trading up and down through the day.

    Market Talk-spx-png
    Market Talk-dwcpf-png

    No changes to the charts. Market character has not changed, so the trend obviously remains up.

    Market Talk-nyad-png

    Cumulative breadth dipped on the day, but remains bullish.

    NAAIM reports tomorrow. I remain bullish.
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  3. Train Keeps A'Rollin - Posted by Coolhand

    Quote Originally Posted by coolhand View Post
    The DWCPF hit a fresh all-time high today, tacking on about 1.5%. The S&P closed slightly above the neutral line.

    Mike's Account Talk-spx-png
    Mike's Account Talk-dwcpf-png

    While the S&P didn't follow the DWCPF higher today, it's still biased to the upside. Momentum is pointing up on both charts, but the DWCPF has been leading for some time now.

    Mike's Account Talk-nyad-png

    Cumulative breadth remains very bullish.
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  4. Mixed, But Still Bullish - Posted by Coolhand

    Quote Originally Posted by coolhand View Post
    It was a negative day for the S&P 500 and a neutral day for the DWCPF. The action changed nothing.

    Market Talk-spx-png
    Market Talk-dwcpf-png

    Price remains quite elevated on both charts. Momentum is still pointed up.

    Market Talk-nyad-png

    Cumulative breadth fell a bit today, but remains bullish.

    It may be uncomfortable holding stocks for some folks right now, given current events, but the
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  5. Anti-Gravity Market - Posted by Coolhand

    Quote Originally Posted by coolhand View Post
    The market had another good week, last week. Especially the S fund.

    Daily Funds Returns-spx-png
    Daily Funds Returns-dwcpf-png

    I don't know how long these indexes can keep powering higher, but they remain bullish. Friday's action saw both indexes hit fresh all-time highs. There is no resistance above on either chart either. Momentum is rising on both charts and both are also overbought.

    Daily Funds Returns-nyad-png

    Cumulative breadth
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SPY (C Fund) (delayed)

(Stockcharts.com Real-time)
DWCPF (S Fund) (delayed)

(Stockcharts.com Real-time)
EFA (I Fund) (delayed)

(Stockcharts.com Real-time)
BND (F Fund) (delayed)

(Stockcharts.com Real-time)

Yahoo Finance Realtime TSP Fund Tracking Index Quotes