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Coolhand's Market Analysis

A weekly snapshot of current TSP allocations for both the Top 50 and the Total Tracker. I also try to accompany the allocation charts with some measure of technical analysis, normally using the S&P 500.

  1. S&P Fights Off Bears For Solid Gain on the Day - Posted by Coolhand

    Quote Originally Posted by coolhand View Post
    A familiar theme continued in market trading today. The S&P showed resilience in fighting off early (moderate) weakness and turned back up to eventually post a solid gain. The DWCPF also started out weak, much weaker than the S&P, and while it did stage a comeback in the afternoon, it was too little, too late and it closed out the session with a moderate loss.

    Poll - How to Handle a Disruptive Member-spx-png
    Poll - How to Handle a Disruptive Member-dwcpf-png

    We can see that the S&P finished the session
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  2. More Mixed Trading - Posted by Coolhand

    Quote Originally Posted by coolhand View Post
    Current market character continued to dish up and down action with a mixed closed today.

    mlk_man's account talk-spx-png
    mlk_man's account talk-dwcpf-png

    The S&P managed to eke out a very modest gain, while the DWCPF fell for the 6th trading day in a row. Price on that index also closed just under the 50 dma. Will it hold? That's what we want to watch. Momentum remains down.

    mlk_man's account talk-nyad-png

    Breadth ticked modestly higher
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  3. Interest Rate Talk Sends Stocks Lower - Posted by Coolhand

    Quote Originally Posted by coolhand View Post
    We'll, we got an inspiring day today. It just wasn't for the bulls, but rather the bears who got some inspiration. All thanks to higher interest rate talks.

    Todays Comments-spx-png
    Todays Comments-dwcpf-png

    Price on the S&P fell, but did close well off its low of the day. Price also fell on the DWCPF, testing support at the 50 dma, which it did successfully as it close above that level after spending some time under it. Momentum is falling on both charts.
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  4. Another Mixed Day - Posted by Coolhand

    Quote Originally Posted by coolhand View Post
    It was another uninspiring day for the market on Monday. That's not necessarily a bad thing, just boring more than anything else.

    Market Talk-spx-png
    Market Talk-dwcpf-png

    Price didn't move much on either chart. The S&P was modestly higher, while the DWCPF modestly lower. Momentum remains down, but it's not affecting price a whole lot. It's that uninspiring nature I mentioned above.

    Market Talk-nyad-png
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  5. It's Still a Bull Market - Posted by Coolhand

    Quote Originally Posted by coolhand View Post
    Friday's negative action capped what ended up to be a lackluster week.

    Poll - How to Handle a Disruptive Member-spx-png
    Poll - How to Handle a Disruptive Member-dwcpf-png

    Price fell on both charts Friday. The S&P ended up with only a very modest gain on the week, while the DWCPF took a moderate weekly loss. It's definitely been a slog for the S&P the past 2 weeks and also for the DWCPF. Upward traction has been difficult during that time. But the downside hasn't been there for the bears either. And
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SPY (C Fund) (delayed)

(Stockcharts.com Real-time)
DWCPF (S Fund) (delayed)

(Stockcharts.com Real-time)
EFA (I Fund) (delayed)

(Stockcharts.com Real-time)
BND (F Fund) (delayed)

(Stockcharts.com Real-time)

Yahoo Finance Realtime TSP Fund Tracking Index Quotes