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Coolhand's Market Analysis

A weekly snapshot of current TSP allocations for both the Top 50 and the Total Tracker. I also try to accompany the allocation charts with some measure of technical analysis, normally using the S&P 500.

  1. Fresh Highs for the S&P - Posted by Coolhand

    Quote Originally Posted by coolhand View Post
    Last week didn't start out well for the bulls and as the week progressed it got a bit more dicey; especially for the DWCPF. But Friday saw a big rally that saw price on the S&P close at yet another all-time high.

    Todays Comments-s-p-500-png
    Todays Comments-dwcpf-png

    So, while the S&P continues to push further to the upside, price on the DWCPF bounced off support at the 50 dma on Thursday and soared higher on Friday, but the rally fell short of retracing
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  2. Stocks Pull Back, But Close Off the Lows of the Day - Posted by Coolhand

    Quote Originally Posted by coolhand View Post
    After a pretty good run to the upside, the S&P finally had a pullback. But even the pullback closed well off the lows of the day. Sign of strength even in weakness? The DWCPf continued its struggles, but like the S&P it closed well off its lows of the day.

    Market Talk-s-p-500-png
    Market Talk-dwcpf-png

    The S&P chart remains bullish, but we'll have to see if Tuesday's selling carries over into the rest of the week. Price on the DWCPF is fighting resistance
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  3. Bulls Still Favor S&P - Posted by Coolhand

    Quote Originally Posted by coolhand View Post
    The disparity between the S&P and the DWCPF continued last week, as the S&P soared to fresh all-time highs, while the DWCPF posted a moderate weekly loss. But that statement may be a bit misleading as the DWCPF remains a bullish chart overall and one that could join the S&P in fresh highs should money flows turn toward small caps with more consistency.

    Market Talk-s-p-500-png
    Market Talk-dwcpf-png

    Of the 2 charts, it's obvious that the S&P is more
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  4. Bulls Turn it Up - Posted by Coolhand

    Quote Originally Posted by coolhand View Post
    So much for the downside and mixed closes. Thursday's trading saw both the S&P and DWCPF post gains.

    A Mirrow to TSP-s-p-500-png
    A Mirrow to TSP-dwcpf-png

    Price on the S&P appeared to be losing steam until Thursday, when the bulls spiked it to the upside. The DWCPF broke its 3 day losing streak with a somewhat modest gain. Both charts are bullish, but the S&P would seem to be a more favorable index as upward momentum is rising on the S&P, but flat on the
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  5. Something For Everyone - Posted by Coolhand

    Quote Originally Posted by coolhand View Post
    Both the bulls and the bears have something to be happy about depending on the index you follow. The S&P made it 3 straight up days at the same time the DWCPF declined 3 days.

    Todays Comments-s-p-500-png
    Todays Comments-dwcpf-png

    So, while the S&P continues to rise, the DWCPF continues to fall, but not enough to cause an serious technical damage (so far).

    Todays Comments-nyad-png


    Breadth ticked higher on the
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SPY (C Fund) (delayed)

(Stockcharts.com Real-time)
DWCPF (S Fund) (delayed)

(Stockcharts.com Real-time)
EFA (I Fund) (delayed)

(Stockcharts.com Real-time)
BND (F Fund) (delayed)

(Stockcharts.com Real-time)

Yahoo Finance Realtime TSP Fund Tracking Index Quotes