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Coolhand's Market Analysis

A weekly snapshot of current TSP allocations for both the Top 50 and the Total Tracker. I also try to accompany the allocation charts with some measure of technical analysis, normally using the S&P 500.

  1. Nothing Has Changed - Posted by Coolhand

    Quote Originally Posted by coolhand View Post
    The bulls had another good week, last week, tacking on almost 1.9% on both the S&P and DWCPF indexes.

    lkatteng Account Talk-spx-png
    lkatteng Account Talk-dwcpf-png

    Friday saw another mixed day, with the S&P dipping and the DWCPF rising. Both charts remain bullish with price hovering near its all-time high.

    lkatteng Account Talk-nyad-png

    Cumulative breadth rose modestly on Friday.

    The TSP Talk sentiment survey came in
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  2. Market Takes a Breather - Posted by Coolhand

    Quote Originally Posted by coolhand View Post
    The market took a bit of a breather today.

    When/how do we pay our "dues" for having money in TSP-spx-png
    When/how do we pay our "dues" for having money in TSP-dwcpf-png

    Price didn't move all that much on either chart. Momentum remains rather neutral, but price remains near the top of the peak.

    When/how do we pay our "dues" for having money in TSP-nyad-png

    Cumulative breadth dipped, but remains bullish. In fact, it has been bullish since early November.

    The big news is that NAAIM got even more bullish. These money
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  3. Just Another Bullish Day? Posted by Coolhand

    Quote Originally Posted by coolhand View Post
    And just like that both charts are sporting fresh closing all-time highs.

    Market Talk-spx-png
    Market Talk-dwcpf-png

    Yes, the charts certainly remain bullish. The bull is still kicking pretty hard. Momentum is hinting at turning back up (it was rather neutral).

    Market Talk-nyad-png

    Cumulative breadth has also hit another all-time high and remains bullish.

    Has anything changed? Not so you'd
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  4. Price Remains Not Far From the Top - Posted by Coolhand

    Quote Originally Posted by coolhand View Post
    The new trading week started off positive, reversing the weakness we saw at the end of last week.

    Market Talk-spx-png
    Market Talk-dwcpf-png

    Both charts remain in good shape overall. Momentum has stalled, but price remains not far from the top on both charts.

    Market Talk-nyad-png

    Cumulative breadth ticked higher and that keeps the chart in a bullish configuration.

    So far, there is no hint
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  5. Bumpy Ride Ahead? Posted by Coolhand

    Quote Originally Posted by coolhand View Post
    The market closed mixed on the week, last week. The S fund posted a decent gain, while the C fund posted a sizable loss.

    lkatteng Account Talk-spx-png
    lkatteng Account Talk-dwcpf-png

    We can still see that the S&P is struggling to maintain altitude, but it is still a bullish chart with price not all that far from the peak. The DWCPF dipped Friday (as did the S&P), but price remains much closer to its peak. Momentum is turned down a bit on both charts. All in all,
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SPY (C Fund) (delayed)

(Stockcharts.com Real-time)
DWCPF (S Fund) (delayed)

(Stockcharts.com Real-time)
EFA (I Fund) (delayed)

(Stockcharts.com Real-time)
BND (F Fund) (delayed)

(Stockcharts.com Real-time)

Yahoo Finance Realtime TSP Fund Tracking Index Quotes